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FIFA World Ranking system (2006–2018)

January 01, 1970

The FIFA men's ranking system 2006–2018 was a calculation technique previously used by FIFA for ranking men's national teams in football. The ranking system was introduced by FIFA after the 2006 FIFA World Cup, as an update to an earlier system, and was replaced after the 2018 World Cup with a revised Elo-based system.

The system, like the previous ones, is extremely similar to that of a league, though with changes made to ensure that it is still representative of the teams' performance despite playing differing numbers of matches per annum, and the differing strength of opposition that teams have to face. The factors taken into account are as follows:

  • Match result
  • Match status
  • Opposition strength
  • Regional strength

Teams' actual scores are a result of the average points gained over each calendar year; matches from the previous four years are considered, with more weight being given to recent ones.

Origin edit

The new rankings were compiled in response to criticism from the media.[1] Meetings were attended by FIFA staff and external experts and a large amount of research was conducted by this group, resulting in the new ranking system.[1] The new system was confirmed in Leipzig on 7 December 2005 by a committee of FIFA executives. Notable changes include the dropping of the home or away advantage and number of goals from the calculation, and the simplification of many aspects of the system.

International "A" matches edit

In October 2012, FIFA released a press circular defining what is considered to be an international "A" match.

For the purposes of the ranking, FIFA defines an international "A" match as a match between two FIFA members for which both members field their first representative team ("A" team).

The FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking is based on a list of all international "A" matches that are recognised by FIFA.

International "A" matches include matches played as part of the FIFA World Cup, FIFA World Cup qualifiers, FIFA Confederations Cup, continental final tournaments, continental qualifying competitions and international friendlies.

— Jérôme Valcke, FIFA.com[2]

Win, draw or defeat edit

In previous years a complicated system of points allocation was used, depending on how strong the opponent was, and how large the loss margin, which allowed weaker losing teams to gain points when playing a much stronger opposition, if they managed to put up a decent match. With the new system, the points allocation is simpler: three points for a win, one point for a draw, and zero points for a loss, in line with most league systems around the world.

In the event of a match being decided by a penalty shootout, the winning team receives two points, and the losing team one point.

Result Points
Win in regulation 3
Win by penalty shootout 2
Draw (includes loss by penalty shootout) 1
Loss in regulation 0

Until November 2012, in two-legged play-offs, if Team A lost the first leg 2 – 0, then matched the result in the return leg and won after a penalty shootout, it received two points. However, if Team A won the return leg by one goal only, being eliminated in the process, it received 3 points.[3] FIFA fixed this flaw starting with the November 2012 ranking.[4][5]

Match status edit

Different matches have different importance to teams, and FIFA has tried to respect this by using a weighting system, where the most significant matches are in the World Cup finals,[6] and the lowest weighted are friendly matches. FIFA states that it wishes to recognise that friendlies are still important, since they make up half of the competitive matches counted in the rankings.[7] FIFA also stated, however, that it did not plan to make any adjustment for teams that qualify directly for major tournaments.[8]

The match status multipliers are as follows:

Match status Multipliers
FIFA World Cup and Continental cup qualifiers × 2.5
Friendly match × 1.0
World Cup finals match × 4.0
Continental cup and

Confederations Cup finals

× 3.0

Opponent strength edit

A win against a very highly ranked opponent is a considerably greater achievement than a win against a low-rated opponent, thus the strength of the opposing team is an important factor.

The new system uses an opposition strength factor based on team rankings. The previous system was based on points difference.

The formula used is:

 

with the exceptions that the team ranked #1 is given a multiplier of 2, and teams ranked 150th and below are assigned the minimum multiplier of 0.5.

The ranking position is taken from the opposition's ranking in the most recently published FIFA World Ranking before the match is included in the ranking calculation.[9]

The rankings published before July 2006 are purely historical and are not used for the new ranking calculation. Instead, FIFA went back as far as 1996 to apply the new formula and is using those new rankings for the current calculations.[10]

See the detailed break-down of point totals for teams from the top 20 in the October 2007 rankings.[11]

Regional strength edit

In addition to the opposition strength multiplier, FIFA considers the relative strength of entire confederations in the calculation. Each confederation is assigned a weighting between 0.85 and 1.0, based on the relative performance of the confederations in the last three World Cups. Their values are as follows:[12][13][14]

Confederations After 2006 World Cup After 2010 World Cup After 2014 World Cup Up to and including 2006 World Cup
CONMEBOL (South America) 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00
UEFA (Europe) 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00
CONCACAF

(North and Central America and Caribbean)

0.85 0.88 0.85 0.88
AFC (Asia) 0.85 0.86 0.85 0.85
CAF (Africa) 0.85 0.86 0.85 0.85
OFC (Oceania) 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85

The multiplier used in the calculation is the average of the regional strength weighting of the two teams:

 

FIFA changed the formula used to compute the confederation weightings after the 2010 FIFA World Cup without public announcement.[15] Without this modification, UEFA's multiplier would have dropped for the first time below 1, with CONMEBOL remaining the only confederation with a multiplier of 1.[16]

The confederation weighting for AFC was increased in August 2011 from 0.85 to 0.86[17] after a computer programmer found an error in FIFA's calculations.[15]

Assessment period edit

Matches played over the last four years (48 months) are included in the calculation, but there is a weighting to put more emphasis on recent results. Previously an eight-year period was used. The date weighting is as follows:

Date of the matches Multipliers
Within the last 12 months × 1.0
12–24 months ago × 0.5
24–36 months ago × 0.3
36–48 months ago × 0.2

If a team exceeds the assessment period without playing a match, it is temporarily removed from the rankings, and is reinstated as soon as it plays a match again. The most recent team to be temporarily absent from the rankings is São Tomé and Príncipe (reinstated in November 2011, after having been removed in December 2007).

Ranking formula edit

The final ranking points figure for a single match is multiplied by 100 and rounded to the nearest whole number.

 

Results for all matches played in the year are averaged together (assuming at least five matches have been played). The average ranking points for the four previous years, weighted by their multiplier mentioned above, are added together to arrive at the final ranking points.

Examples edit

The following examples use these hypothetical teams and confederations, and assume the games are played within the last 12 months:

  • Amplistan is currently ranked 2nd in the world and is a member of confederation XYZ (weighting 1.0);
  • Bestrudia is currently ranked 188th in the world and is a member of confederation ABC (weighting 0.88);
  • Conesto is currently ranked 39th in the world and is a member of confederation QRS (weighting 0.98);
  • Delphiz is currently ranked 30th in the world and is a member of confederation HIJ (weighting 0.94).

A friendly match is played between Amplistan and Bestrudia. Amplistan wins 2–1.

Match Team Result points Match status Opposition strength Regional strength Ranking points
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (friendly)
Result: 2–1		 Amplistan
Bestrudia		 3
0		 1.0
1.0		 0.50
1.98		 0.94
0.94		 141
0

Bestrudia gets no ranking points because it lost the game, so all factors are multiplied by zero.

Amplistan's 141 ranking points are calculated like this:

  • 3 points for the win;
  • multiplied by 1.0 for match status (friendly match);
  • multiplied by 0.50 for opposition strength (Bestrudia is ranked 188th, so it has the minimum 0.50 weighting);
  • multiplied by 0.94 for regional strength (the average of the weightings for the two teams' confederations);
  • multiplied by 100.

More examples:

Match Team Result points Match status Opposition strength Regional strength Ranking points
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (friendly)
Result: 1–2		 Amplistan
Bestrudia		 0
3		 1.0
1.0		 0.50
1.98		 0.94
0.94		 0
558
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (friendly)
Result: 1–1		 Amplistan
Bestrudia		 1
1		 1.0
1.0		 0.50
1.98		 0.94
0.94		 47
186
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (World Cup finals)
Result: 2–1		 Amplistan
Bestrudia		 3
0		 4.0
4.0		 0.50
1.98		 0.94
0.94		 564
0
Amplistan vs. Bestrudia (World Cup finals)
Result: 1–1 (Bestrudia wins on penalties)		 Amplistan
Bestrudia		 1
2		 4.0
4.0		 0.50
1.98		 0.94
0.94		 188
1488
Amplistan vs. Conesto (friendly)
Result: 1–2		 Amplistan
Conesto		 0
3		 1.0
1.0		 1.61
1.98		 0.99
0.99		 0
588
Conesto vs. Delphiz (Continental cup qualifiers)
Result: 4–0		 Conesto
Delphiz		 3
0		 2.5
2.5		 1.70
1.61		 0.96
0.96		 1224
0
Conesto vs. Delphiz (Continental cup qualifiers)
Result: 0–1		 Conesto
Delphiz		 0
3		 2.5
2.5		 1.70
1.61		 0.96
0.96		 0
1159
Conesto vs. Amplistan (World Cup finals)
Result: 0–0 (Amplistan wins on penalties)		 Conesto
Amplistan		 1
2		 4.0
4.0		 1.98
1.61		 0.99
0.99		 784
1275

Conesto gets more points than Bestrudia for defeating the same team (Amplistan) because of the higher weighting of its confederation.

References edit

  1. ^ a b . FIFA. Archived from the original on June 4, 2007. Retrieved 28 March 2008.
  2. ^ (PDF). FIFA.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 28, 2013. Retrieved 20 December 2012.
  3. ^ "FIFA Ranking: Flaw in the calculation". Football-Rankings.info. 14 September 2009. Retrieved 9 October 2009.
  4. ^ "FIFA Ranking: November 2012 differences". Football-Rankings.info. 9 November 2012. Retrieved 3 July 2013.
  5. ^ "FIFA Ranking: Penalty shoot-out matches". Football-Rankings.info. 2 November 2012. Retrieved 3 July 2013.
  6. ^ Finals is used in this sense to mean the 'final tournament' (as opposed to the qualifying tournament)
  7. ^ (PDF). FIFA. 7 July 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on 29 June 2007. Retrieved 21 June 2007.
  8. ^ However, 2010 FIFA World Cup hosts South Africa competed in CAF qualifying despite automatically qualifying for the World Cup; this is because CAF chose to combine the 2010 World Cup qualifying tournament with the qualifiers for the 2010 African Cup of Nations, an event for which South Africa had to separately qualify. South Africa failed to qualify for the 2010 African Cup of Nations.
  9. ^ "FIFA Rankings: September 2008 errors (II)". Football-rankings.info. Retrieved 2016-06-20.
  10. ^ "FIFA miscalculated the rankings... or did they?". Football-rankings.info. 14 November 2007. Retrieved 23 June 2014.
  11. ^ (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on April 9, 2008. Retrieved 23 June 2014.
  12. ^ (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on April 9, 2008. Retrieved 23 June 2014.
  13. ^ (PDF). Fifa.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 11, 2010. Retrieved 2016-06-20.
  14. ^ (PDF). Fifa.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 16, 2014. Retrieved 2016-06-20.
  15. ^ a b "Confederation weightings: One answer, more questions". Football-Rankings.info. 26 August 2011. Retrieved 26 August 2011.
  16. ^ "Confederation weighting: Are the official values wrong". Football-Rankings.info. 11 August 2011. Retrieved 4 July 2014.
  17. ^ . FIFA. 24 August 2011. Archived from the original on 25 September 2011. Retrieved 26 August 2011.

See also edit

January 01, 1970
fifa, world, ranking, system, 2006, 2018, fifa, ranking, system, 2006, 2018, calculation, technique, previously, used, fifa, ranking, national, teams, football, ranking, system, introduced, fifa, after, 2006, fifa, world, update, earlier, system, replaced, aft. The FIFA men s ranking system 2006 2018 was a calculation technique previously used by FIFA for ranking men s national teams in football The ranking system was introduced by FIFA after the 2006 FIFA World Cup as an update to an earlier system and was replaced after the 2018 World Cup with a revised Elo based system The system like the previous ones is extremely similar to that of a league though with changes made to ensure that it is still representative of the teams performance despite playing differing numbers of matches per annum and the differing strength of opposition that teams have to face The factors taken into account are as follows Match result Match status Opposition strength Regional strength Teams actual scores are a result of the average points gained over each calendar year matches from the previous four years are considered with more weight being given to recent ones Contents 1 Origin 2 International A matches 3 Win draw or defeat 4 Match status 5 Opponent strength 6 Regional strength 7 Assessment period 8 Ranking formula 9 Examples 10 References 11 See alsoOrigin editThe new rankings were compiled in response to criticism from the media 1 Meetings were attended by FIFA staff and external experts and a large amount of research was conducted by this group resulting in the new ranking system 1 The new system was confirmed in Leipzig on 7 December 2005 by a committee of FIFA executives Notable changes include the dropping of the home or away advantage and number of goals from the calculation and the simplification of many aspects of the system International A matches editIn October 2012 FIFA released a press circular defining what is considered to be an international A match For the purposes of the ranking FIFA defines an international A match as a match between two FIFA members for which both members field their first representative team A team The FIFA Coca Cola World Ranking is based on a list of all international A matches that are recognised by FIFA International A matches include matches played as part of the FIFA World Cup FIFA World Cup qualifiers FIFA Confederations Cup continental final tournaments continental qualifying competitions and international friendlies Jerome Valcke FIFA com 2 Win draw or defeat editIn previous years a complicated system of points allocation was used depending on how strong the opponent was and how large the loss margin which allowed weaker losing teams to gain points when playing a much stronger opposition if they managed to put up a decent match With the new system the points allocation is simpler three points for a win one point for a draw and zero points for a loss in line with most league systems around the world In the event of a match being decided by a penalty shootout the winning team receives two points and the losing team one point Result Points Win in regulation 3 Win by penalty shootout 2 Draw includes loss by penalty shootout 1 Loss in regulation 0 Until November 2012 in two legged play offs if Team A lost the first leg 2 0 then matched the result in the return leg and won after a penalty shootout it received two points However if Team A won the return leg by one goal only being eliminated in the process it received 3 points 3 FIFA fixed this flaw starting with the November 2012 ranking 4 5 Match status editDifferent matches have different importance to teams and FIFA has tried to respect this by using a weighting system where the most significant matches are in the World Cup finals 6 and the lowest weighted are friendly matches FIFA states that it wishes to recognise that friendlies are still important since they make up half of the competitive matches counted in the rankings 7 FIFA also stated however that it did not plan to make any adjustment for teams that qualify directly for major tournaments 8 The match status multipliers are as follows Match status Multipliers FIFA World Cup and Continental cup qualifiers 2 5 Friendly match 1 0 World Cup finals match 4 0 Continental cup and Confederations Cup finals 3 0Opponent strength editA win against a very highly ranked opponent is a considerably greater achievement than a win against a low rated opponent thus the strength of the opposing team is an important factor The new system uses an opposition strength factor based on team rankings The previous system was based on points difference The formula used is Opposition strength multiplier 200 ranking position 100 displaystyle text Opposition strength multiplier 200 text ranking position 100 nbsp with the exceptions that the team ranked 1 is given a multiplier of 2 and teams ranked 150th and below are assigned the minimum multiplier of 0 5 The ranking position is taken from the opposition s ranking in the most recently published FIFA World Ranking before the match is included in the ranking calculation 9 The rankings published before July 2006 are purely historical and are not used for the new ranking calculation Instead FIFA went back as far as 1996 to apply the new formula and is using those new rankings for the current calculations 10 See the detailed break down of point totals for teams from the top 20 in the October 2007 rankings 11 Regional strength editIn addition to the opposition strength multiplier FIFA considers the relative strength of entire confederations in the calculation Each confederation is assigned a weighting between 0 85 and 1 0 based on the relative performance of the confederations in the last three World Cups Their values are as follows 12 13 14 Confederations After 2006 World Cup After 2010 World Cup After 2014 World Cup Up to and including 2006 World Cup CONMEBOL South America 0 98 1 00 1 00 1 00 UEFA Europe 1 00 1 00 0 99 1 00 CONCACAF North and Central America and Caribbean 0 85 0 88 0 85 0 88 AFC Asia 0 85 0 86 0 85 0 85 CAF Africa 0 85 0 86 0 85 0 85 OFC Oceania 0 85 0 85 0 85 0 85 The multiplier used in the calculation is the average of the regional strength weighting of the two teams Regional strength multiplier Team 1 regional weighting Team 2 regional weighting 2 displaystyle text Regional strength multiplier frac text Team 1 regional weighting text Team 2 regional weighting 2 nbsp FIFA changed the formula used to compute the confederation weightings after the 2010 FIFA World Cup without public announcement 15 Without this modification UEFA s multiplier would have dropped for the first time below 1 with CONMEBOL remaining the only confederation with a multiplier of 1 16 The confederation weighting for AFC was increased in August 2011 from 0 85 to 0 86 17 after a computer programmer found an error in FIFA s calculations 15 Assessment period editMatches played over the last four years 48 months are included in the calculation but there is a weighting to put more emphasis on recent results Previously an eight year period was used The date weighting is as follows Date of the matches Multipliers Within the last 12 months 1 0 12 24 months ago 0 5 24 36 months ago 0 3 36 48 months ago 0 2 If a team exceeds the assessment period without playing a match it is temporarily removed from the rankings and is reinstated as soon as it plays a match again The most recent team to be temporarily absent from the rankings is Sao Tome and Principe reinstated in November 2011 after having been removed in December 2007 Ranking formula editThe final ranking points figure for a single match is multiplied by 100 and rounded to the nearest whole number Ranking points Result points Match status Opposition strength Regional strength displaystyle text Ranking points text Result points times text Match status times text Opposition strength times text Regional strength nbsp Results for all matches played in the year are averaged together assuming at least five matches have been played The average ranking points for the four previous years weighted by their multiplier mentioned above are added together to arrive at the final ranking points Examples editThe following examples use these hypothetical teams and confederations and assume the games are played within the last 12 months Amplistan is currently ranked 2nd in the world and is a member of confederation XYZ weighting 1 0 Bestrudia is currently ranked 188th in the world and is a member of confederation ABC weighting 0 88 Conesto is currently ranked 39th in the world and is a member of confederation QRS weighting 0 98 Delphiz is currently ranked 30th in the world and is a member of confederation HIJ weighting 0 94 A friendly match is played between Amplistan and Bestrudia Amplistan wins 2 1 Match Team Result points Match status Opposition strength Regional strength Ranking points Amplistan vs Bestrudia friendly Result 2 1 AmplistanBestrudia 30 1 01 0 0 501 98 0 940 94 1410 Bestrudia gets no ranking points because it lost the game so all factors are multiplied by zero Amplistan s 141 ranking points are calculated like this 3 points for the win multiplied by 1 0 for match status friendly match multiplied by 0 50 for opposition strength Bestrudia is ranked 188th so it has the minimum 0 50 weighting multiplied by 0 94 for regional strength the average of the weightings for the two teams confederations multiplied by 100 More examples Match Team Result points Match status Opposition strength Regional strength Ranking points Amplistan vs Bestrudia friendly Result 1 2 AmplistanBestrudia 03 1 01 0 0 501 98 0 940 94 0558 Amplistan vs Bestrudia friendly Result 1 1 AmplistanBestrudia 11 1 01 0 0 501 98 0 940 94 47186 Amplistan vs Bestrudia World Cup finals Result 2 1 AmplistanBestrudia 30 4 04 0 0 501 98 0 940 94 5640 Amplistan vs Bestrudia World Cup finals Result 1 1 Bestrudia wins on penalties AmplistanBestrudia 12 4 04 0 0 501 98 0 940 94 1881488 Amplistan vs Conesto friendly Result 1 2 AmplistanConesto 03 1 01 0 1 611 98 0 990 99 0588 Conesto vs Delphiz Continental cup qualifiers Result 4 0 ConestoDelphiz 30 2 52 5 1 701 61 0 960 96 12240 Conesto vs Delphiz Continental cup qualifiers Result 0 1 ConestoDelphiz 03 2 52 5 1 701 61 0 960 96 01159 Conesto vs Amplistan World Cup finals Result 0 0 Amplistan wins on penalties ConestoAmplistan 12 4 04 0 1 981 61 0 990 99 7841275 Conesto gets more points than Bestrudia for defeating the same team Amplistan because of the higher weighting of its confederation References edit a b FIFA Coca Cola World Ranking Procedure FIFA Archived from the original on June 4 2007 Retrieved 28 March 2008 Circular no 1324 PDF FIFA com Archived from the original PDF on March 28 2013 Retrieved 20 December 2012 FIFA Ranking Flaw in the calculation Football Rankings info 14 September 2009 Retrieved 9 October 2009 FIFA Ranking November 2012 differences Football Rankings info 9 November 2012 Retrieved 3 July 2013 FIFA Ranking Penalty shoot out matches Football Rankings info 2 November 2012 Retrieved 3 July 2013 Finals is used in this sense to mean the final tournament as opposed to the qualifying tournament FIFA Coca Cola World Ranking In focus PDF FIFA 7 July 2006 Archived from the original PDF on 29 June 2007 Retrieved 21 June 2007 However 2010 FIFA World Cup hosts South Africa competed in CAF qualifying despite automatically qualifying for the World Cup this is because CAF chose to combine the 2010 World Cup qualifying tournament with the qualifiers for the 2010 African Cup of Nations an event for which South Africa had to separately qualify South Africa failed to qualify for the 2010 African Cup of Nations FIFA Rankings September 2008 errors II Football rankings info Retrieved 2016 06 20 FIFA miscalculated the rankings or did they Football rankings info 14 November 2007 Retrieved 23 June 2014 Calculation FIFA Coca Cola world ranking October 2007 PDF Archived from the original PDF on April 9 2008 Retrieved 23 June 2014 How are points calculated in the FIFA World Ranking PDF Archived from the original PDF on April 9 2008 Retrieved 23 June 2014 FIFA Fact Sheet How are points calculated in the FIFA Coca Cola World Ranking PDF Fifa com Archived from the original PDF on October 11 2010 Retrieved 2016 06 20 FIFA Fact Sheet How are points calculated in the FIFA Coca Cola World Ranking PDF Fifa com Archived from the original PDF on August 16 2014 Retrieved 2016 06 20 a b Confederation weightings One answer more questions Football Rankings info 26 August 2011 Retrieved 26 August 2011 Confederation weighting Are the official values wrong Football Rankings info 11 August 2011 Retrieved 4 July 2014 Dutch dethrone Spain Uruguay rise FIFA 24 August 2011 Archived from the original on 25 September 2011 Retrieved 26 August 2011 See also editFIFA World Rankings overview of ranking systems and the ranking system used after July 2018 FIFA Women s World Rankings the ranking system used for women s national teams similar to the Elo system World Football Elo Ratings an alternative ranking system Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title FIFA World Ranking system 2006 2018 amp oldid 1214215822, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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