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Causal layered analysis

Causal layered analysis (CLA) is a technique used in strategic planning, futures studies and foresight to more effectively shape the future.[1][2] The technique was pioneered by Sohail Inayatullah, a Pakistani-Australian futures studies researcher.[3]

Theory

Causal layered analysis works by identifying many different levels, and attempting to make synchronized changes at all levels to create a coherent new future. Inayatullah's original paper[3] as well as his TEDx talk[4] identify four levels:

  1. The litany: This includes quantitative trends, often exaggerated and used for political purposes. The result could be a feeling of apathy, helplessness, or projected action. Inayatullah calls this "the conventional level of futures research which can readily create a politics of fear."[3]
  2. Social causes, including economic, cultural, political, and historical factors.
  3. Structure and the discourse that legitimizes and supports the structure.
  4. Metaphor and myth

History of research

CLA was first introduced explicitly as a futures research technique by Sohail Inayatullah in a 1998 article for Futures that would come to be widely cited.[3] Later, Inayatullah would edit the CLA Reader, that featured chapters from a number of futurists and practitioners describing their experience with CLA.[5][6]

Inayatullah's work on CLA was examined in a book by Jose W. Ramos in 2003.[7]

A 2008 article by Chris Riedy examined the similarities, differences, and possible combinations of CLA and Ken Wilber's integral theory.[8]

A 2010 article by Gary P. Hampson explored the relationship between integral futures and CLA further, and also considered Richard Slaughter's critique of CLA.[9]

Sohail Inayatullah and Ivana Milojevic have published an update in 2015.[10] With various authors, they investigate topics such as:

  • The Global Financial Crisis
  • Terrorism futures
  • Global governance
  • Ageing and the changing workforce
  • Educational and university futures
  • Climate change
  • Water futures in the Muslim world
  • The alternative futures of China
  • Agricultural policy in Australia
  • The new national narrative in Singapore

See also

References

  1. ^ Inayatullah, Sohail (January–February 2014). "Causal Layered Analysis Defined". The Futurist. World Future Society. 48 (1). Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  2. ^ "Causal Layered Analysis". Scenarios for Sustainability Recipes. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  3. ^ a b c d Inayatullah, Sohail (October 1998). (PDF). Futures. 30 (8): 815–829. doi:10.1016/S0016-3287(98)00086-X. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 14, 2014. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  4. ^ Inayatullah, Sohail (May 12, 2013). "Causal Layered Analysis: Sohail Inayatullah at TEDxNoosa". YouTube. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  5. ^ "The Causal Layered Analysis Reader". Metafuture.org. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  6. ^ "The Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) Reader: Theory and Case Studies of an Integrative and Transformative Methodology" (PDF). Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  7. ^ Ramos, Jose W. (2003). . Australian Foresight Institute. Archived from the original on 2014-07-14. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  8. ^ Riedy, Chris (March 2008). "An Integral extension of causal layered analysis" (PDF). Futures. Elsevier. 40 (2): 150–159. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2007.11.009. hdl:10453/9782.
  9. ^ Hampson, Gary P. (March 2010). "Futures of integral futures: An analysis of Richard Slaughter's analysis of Causal Layered Analysis" (PDF). Futures. 42 (2): 134–148. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2009.09.006. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  10. ^ "CLA 2.0 Transformative Research in Theory and Practice". 2015.

causal, layered, analysis, technique, used, strategic, planning, futures, studies, foresight, more, effectively, shape, future, technique, pioneered, sohail, inayatullah, pakistani, australian, futures, studies, researcher, contents, theory, history, research,. Causal layered analysis CLA is a technique used in strategic planning futures studies and foresight to more effectively shape the future 1 2 The technique was pioneered by Sohail Inayatullah a Pakistani Australian futures studies researcher 3 Contents 1 Theory 2 History of research 3 See also 4 ReferencesTheory EditCausal layered analysis works by identifying many different levels and attempting to make synchronized changes at all levels to create a coherent new future Inayatullah s original paper 3 as well as his TEDx talk 4 identify four levels The litany This includes quantitative trends often exaggerated and used for political purposes The result could be a feeling of apathy helplessness or projected action Inayatullah calls this the conventional level of futures research which can readily create a politics of fear 3 Social causes including economic cultural political and historical factors Structure and the discourse that legitimizes and supports the structure Metaphor and mythHistory of research EditCLA was first introduced explicitly as a futures research technique by Sohail Inayatullah in a 1998 article for Futures that would come to be widely cited 3 Later Inayatullah would edit the CLA Reader that featured chapters from a number of futurists and practitioners describing their experience with CLA 5 6 Inayatullah s work on CLA was examined in a book by Jose W Ramos in 2003 7 A 2008 article by Chris Riedy examined the similarities differences and possible combinations of CLA and Ken Wilber s integral theory 8 A 2010 article by Gary P Hampson explored the relationship between integral futures and CLA further and also considered Richard Slaughter s critique of CLA 9 Sohail Inayatullah and Ivana Milojevic have published an update in 2015 10 With various authors they investigate topics such as The Global Financial Crisis Terrorism futures Global governance Ageing and the changing workforce Educational and university futures Climate change Water futures in the Muslim world The alternative futures of China Agricultural policy in Australia The new national narrative in SingaporeSee also EditFutures techniques BackcastingReferences Edit Inayatullah Sohail January February 2014 Causal Layered Analysis Defined The Futurist World Future Society 48 1 Retrieved July 2 2014 Causal Layered Analysis Scenarios for Sustainability Recipes Retrieved July 2 2014 a b c d Inayatullah Sohail October 1998 Causal layered analysis Poststructuralism as method PDF Futures 30 8 815 829 doi 10 1016 S0016 3287 98 00086 X Archived from the original PDF on July 14 2014 Retrieved July 2 2014 Inayatullah Sohail May 12 2013 Causal Layered Analysis Sohail Inayatullah at TEDxNoosa YouTube Retrieved July 2 2014 The Causal Layered Analysis Reader Metafuture org Retrieved July 2 2014 The Causal Layered Analysis CLA Reader Theory and Case Studies of an Integrative and Transformative Methodology PDF Retrieved July 2 2014 Ramos Jose W 2003 From critique to cultural recovery critical futures studies and casual layered analysis Australian Foresight Institute Archived from the original on 2014 07 14 Retrieved July 2 2014 Riedy Chris March 2008 An Integral extension of causal layered analysis PDF Futures Elsevier 40 2 150 159 doi 10 1016 j futures 2007 11 009 hdl 10453 9782 Hampson Gary P March 2010 Futures of integral futures An analysis of Richard Slaughter s analysis of Causal Layered Analysis PDF Futures 42 2 134 148 doi 10 1016 j futures 2009 09 006 Retrieved July 2 2014 CLA 2 0 Transformative Research in Theory and Practice 2015 Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Causal layered analysis amp oldid 1076738212, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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