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2022 United States Senate election in Vermont

August 22, 2023

The 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont. It was held concurrently with U.S. Senate elections in other states, along with elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections across the country. The incumbent senator, Democrat Patrick Leahy, announced on November 15, 2021, that he would not seek re-election to a ninth term,[1] leaving the seat open for the first time since 1974.

2022 United States Senate election in Vermont
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Peter Welch Gerald Malloy
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 196,575 80,468
Percentage 68.5% 28.0%
Welch:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%      >90%
Malloy:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Tie:      40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Patrick Leahy
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Peter Welch
Democratic

Primary elections were held on August 9, 2022, with Peter Welch, the incumbent U.S. Representative from the state's at-large congressional district, winning the Democratic primary, while U.S. Army veteran Gerald Malloy won the Republican primary. In heavily Democratic Vermont, the Democratic nomination is tantamount to election, and on election day, Welch defeated Malloy in a landslide. He won every county in the state, garnering 68.5% of the vote statewide to Malloy's 28.0%. The race was called for Welch shortly after polls closed.[2]

At 75 years old, Welch became the oldest person ever elected to a first term in the Senate, a record previously held by Frederick H. Gillett in 1924.[3] He also became only the second Democrat ever elected to the Senate from Vermont, after Leahy.[2]

Democratic primary

Following Leahy's announcement that he would retire, speculation arose as to which Democrats could run to succeed him; Newsweek cited two of the leading possible contenders for the nomination as Peter Welch, who had served as U.S. Representative for Vermont's at-large congressional district since 2006, and President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate Becca Balint.[4] Also considering a run was state representative Tanya Vyhovsky.[5] However, candidates were reluctant to enter the race due to speculation that Bernie Sanders, Vermont's popular junior senator, would endorse Welch for the open seat.[5] It was widely considered that an endorsement from Sanders would essentially lock up the race for Welch.[5] While both men were both considered to be associated with the left-wing of the Democratic Party, Welch was noted by The Intercept to be rather more moderate than Sanders was, especially when compared to Vyhovsky.[5]

Welch announced his campaign for the seat on November 22, 2021, pledging in a campaign video to support Medicare for All and the Green New Deal; he was immediately endorsed by Sanders.[6][7]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Isaac Evans-Frantz, peace activist[10]
  • Niki Thran, physician[11]

Declined

Endorsements

Isaac Evans-Frantz
Organizations
Peter Welch
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error 		Isaac
Evans-Frantz 		Niki
Thran 		Peter
Welch 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire July 21–25, 2022 352 (LV) ± 5.2% 6% 1% 82% 0% 10%

Results

 
Results by county
  Welch
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Peter Welch 86,603 87.01%
Democratic Isaac Evans-Frantz 7,230 7.26%
Democratic Niki Thran 5,104 5.13%
Write-in 599 0.60%
Total votes 99,536 100.0%

Republican primary

 
Former U.S. Attorney Christina Nolan finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Christina Nolan
U.S. Senators
Governors

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error 		Gerald
Malloy 		Myers
Mermel 		Christina
Nolan 		Undecided
University of New Hampshire July 21–25, 2022 196 (LV) ± 7.0% 30% 3% 24% 43%

Results

 
Results by county
  Malloy
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Nolan
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gerald Malloy 12,169 42.39%
Republican Christina Nolan 10,825 37.70%
Republican Myers Mermel 5,227 18.21%
Write-in 489 1.70%
Total votes 28,710 100.0%

Progressive primary

Candidates

Withdrew after winning primary

Declined

Results

Progressive primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Martha Abbott 473 86.63%
Write-in 73 13.37%
Total votes 546 100.0%

Minor-parties and independents

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[57] Solid D November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[58] Solid D January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[59] Safe D November 3, 2021
Politico[60] Solid D August 12, 2022
RCP[61] Safe D November 1, 2022
Fox News[62] Solid D May 12, 2022
DDHQ[63] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[64] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[65] Safe D September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Peter Welch (D)
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions
Gerald Malloy (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Individuals
State legislators

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error 		Peter
Welch (D) 		Gerald
Malloy (R) 		Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D) October 21–26, 2022 1,039 (LV) ± 3.0% 63% 32% – 4%
University of New Hampshire September 29 – October 3, 2022 765 (LV) ± 3.5% 62% 28% 2%[c] 8%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 3–7, 2022 1,072 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 43% 2% 5%
Hypothetical polling
Peter Welch vs. Christina Nolan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error 		Peter
Welch (D) 		Christina
Nolan (R) 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 583 (LV) ± 4.1% 62% 27% 1% 10%
Patrick Leahy vs. Phil Scott
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error 		Patrick
Leahy (D) 		Phil
Scott (R) 		Other Undecided
VPR/Vermont PBS September 3–15, 2020 582 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 41% 7% 15%

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Vermont debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Peter Welch Gerard Malloy
1 Oct. 13, 2022 Vermont Public Radio Mikaela Lefrak Youtube P P

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Vermont[74]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Peter Welch 196,575 68.47% +7.21%
Republican Gerald Malloy 80,468 28.03% -5.00%
Independent Dawn Marie Ellis 2,752 0.96% N/A
Green Mountain Natasha Diamondstone-Kohout 1,574 0.55% N/A
Independent Kerry Patrick Raheb 1,532 0.53% N/A
Independent Mark Coester 1,273 0.44% N/A
Independent Stephen Duke 1,209 0.42% N/A
Independent Cris Ericson 1,105 0.38% N/A
Write-in 612 0.21% +0.11%
Total votes 287,100 100% N/A
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Candidate is a member of the Progressive Party, but ran with the Democratic Party's endorsement under Vermont's electoral fusion system
  2. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Ericson (I) with 1%; Ellis (I) with 1%

References

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  2. ^ a b Kang, Hanna; Casado, Laura (November 8, 2022). "The Senate has its 1st new member". The Week. London. Retrieved June 15, 2023.
  3. ^ Fedor, Lauren (January 2, 2023). "First-time senators take their seats as Democrats maintain slim majority". Financial Times. London. Retrieved June 15, 2023.
  4. ^ Hutzler, Alexandra (November 15, 2021). "Who Will Run for Patrick Leahy's Seat? Vermont's Longest-Serving Senator to Retire". Newsweek. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
  5. ^ a b c d Grim, Ryan (November 14, 2021). "Bernie Sanders Could Snuff Out a Potential Primary Contest to Replace Patrick Leahy". The Intercept. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
  6. ^ Forgey, Quint (November 22, 2021). "Rep. Peter Welch launches Senate bid for Leahy's seat". Politico. Axel Springer SE. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
  7. ^ Bowman, Bridget (November 22, 2021). "Welch launches Vermont Senate run with Sanders' backing". Roll Call. FiscalNote. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
  8. ^ Forgey, Quint (November 22, 2021). "Rep. Peter Welch launches Senate bid for Leahy's seat". Politico. from the original on November 22, 2021. Retrieved November 22, 2021.
  9. ^ "Rep. Peter Welch announces run for U.S. Senate". WCAX-TV. Burlington, Vt. November 22, 2021. from the original on November 22, 2021. Retrieved November 22, 2021.
  10. ^ "Isaac Evans-Frantz announces bid for US Senate in Vermont". April 11, 2022. Retrieved April 12, 2022.
  11. ^ "Physician Niki Thran to run for Vermont Senate seat". January 14, 2022. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
  12. ^ a b c d e Heintz, Paul (November 18, 2020). "If Sanders Joined Biden's Cabinet, Who Would Succeed Him in the Senate?". Seven Days. from the original on November 25, 2020. Retrieved November 27, 2020.
  13. ^ O'Connor, Kevin (November 3, 2020). "Senate leader Becca Balint's new signs hint at future statewide run". VTDigger. from the original on December 5, 2020. Retrieved November 27, 2020.
  14. ^ Sukiennik, Greg (November 23, 2020). "Balint, women leaders, Brock make history as Senate leadership shifts". Brattleboro Reformer. from the original on November 29, 2020. Retrieved November 27, 2020.
  15. ^ a b c Goldstein, Sasha (November 1, 2021). "Will Leahy Run? As He Ponders, Three Potential Congressional Candidates Gear up". from the original on November 10, 2021. Retrieved November 10, 2021.
  16. ^ Duffort, Lola (December 13, 2021). "Becca Balint, leader of the Vermont Senate joins race for US House". VTDigger. Retrieved December 14, 2021.
  17. ^ Davis, Eric (October 24, 2019). "Vermont elections may lack drama". Addison County Independent. from the original on October 28, 2020. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
  18. ^ Xander Landen & Kit Norton (October 29, 2019). "Democrats poll Zuckerman and Donovan for governor as Holcombe presses ahead". VTDigger. from the original on October 29, 2020. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
  19. ^ "Lt. Gov. Molly Gray announces run for Vermont's sole US House seat". myNBC5.com. December 6, 2021. from the original on December 6, 2021. Retrieved December 6, 2021.
  20. ^ Coleman, J. Miles. "2022 Senate Races: Initial Ratings – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved February 16, 2021.
  21. ^ Johnson, Mark (June 16, 2021). "Column | Lt. Gov. Molly Gray Says She's Too Focused on Her Current Role to Think About Running for Congress". sevendaysvt.com.
  22. ^ Cutler, Calvin (May 27, 2022). "Kesha Ram Hinsdale drops out of US House race, endorses Becca Balint". WCAX. Retrieved May 27, 2022.
  23. ^ Mearhoff, Sarah (January 13, 2022). "Sen. Kesha Ram Hinsdale launches campaign for US House". VTDigger. Vermont Journalism Trust. Retrieved January 15, 2022.
  24. ^ a b Grim, Ryan (November 14, 2021). "Bernie Sanders could snuff out a potential primary challenge to replace Patrick Leahy". from the original on November 15, 2021. Retrieved November 15, 2021.
  25. ^ Sukiennik, Greg (November 15, 2021). "Leaders, potential candidates hail U.S. Sen. Patrick Leahy as he announces 2022 retirement". Bennington Banner. from the original on November 18, 2021. Retrieved November 18, 2021.
  26. ^ a b Higdon, Bridget (May 4, 2022). "Rep. Tanya Vyhovsky announces candidacy for new Chittenden-Central State Senate District". The Essex Reporter.
  27. ^ Lindholm, Jane [@JaneLindholm] (November 15, 2021). "David Zuckerman coming out of the gate fast with his declaration, on @vermontedition, that he will NOT be running for the open Senate seat, and he advises patience for others who are considering jumping in. #vtpoli (Guess I won't make my announcement quite yet, then.)" (Tweet). from the original on November 15, 2021. Retrieved November 16, 2021 – via Twitter.
  28. ^ Mearhoff, Sarah (June 7, 2022). "Isaac Evans-Frantz doesn't want the US Senate race to be a 'coronation'". VT Digger. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  29. ^ a b Knutson, Jacob (November 22, 2021). "Vermont Rep. Peter Welch to seek Leahy's Senate seat". Axios. from the original on November 22, 2021. Retrieved November 22, 2021.
  30. ^ "Congressman Peter Welch to run for U.S. Senate after Sen. Leahy opts to not seek re-election". Vermont Public Radio. November 22, 2021. from the original on November 22, 2021. Retrieved November 25, 2021.
  31. ^ a b "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World.
  32. ^ a b "Candidates". endcitizensunited.org. End Citizens United. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  33. ^ a b "Giffords Endorses Congressman Peter Welch for the US Senate". www.giffords.org. Giffords. April 29, 2022.
  34. ^ a b "LCV ACTION FUND ANNOUNCES FIRST ROUND OF NON-INCUMBENT SENATE ENDORSEMENTS". www.lcv.org. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  35. ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Rep. Peter Welch for Election to the U.S. Senate". www.prochoiceamerica.org. February 15, 2022.
  36. ^ a b . Population Connection Action Fund. Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
  37. ^ a b "2022 CWA Endorsed Candidates - Vermont". Communications Workers of America. March 24, 2022. Retrieved April 26, 2022.
  38. ^ a b c "2022 August Primary Federal and Statewide Office Canvass Report" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State.
  39. ^ "Republican candidates for U.S. Senate and House to hold forum in Milton May 14". Milton Independent. May 5, 2022. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  40. ^ "FEC Form 2". Federal Election Committee. March 18, 2022. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  41. ^ "Myers Mermel announces his candidacy for Us Senate in Vermont". Cision PR Newswire. May 27, 2022. Retrieved May 28, 2022.
  42. ^ Beals, Monique (February 22, 2022). "Former US attorney launches Senate bid in Vermont". thehill.com. The Hill. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
  43. ^ Reed, Nathaniel [@ReedReports] (November 15, 2021). "JUST IN: Former Longtime Vermont Governor Jim Douglas (R-VT, 2003-2011) tells me (@Newsy) he will NOT run for Senate in 2022. Says he assumes Rep. @PeterWelch (D-VT) "would be the favorite, if he decides to run"" (Tweet). from the original on November 15, 2021. Retrieved November 16, 2021 – via Twitter.
  44. ^ Scanlon, Kate (November 15, 2021). "GOP Vermont governor says he won't run for Senate seat Leahy's giving up". Washington Examiner. from the original on November 19, 2021. Retrieved November 20, 2021.
  45. ^ "Mitch McConnell to headline Christina Nolan campaign fundraiser". Vermont Digger. May 2, 2022. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  46. ^ Mearhoff, Sarah; Skillman, Kori (August 9, 2022). "Peter Welch to face Gerald Malloy in Vermont's US Senate race". VT Digger. Retrieved August 17, 2022.
  47. ^ Cooney, Melissa (February 22, 2022). "Nolan to run for US Senate". wcax.com. Retrieved February 28, 2022.
  48. ^ "Jim Douglas to chair Nolan for Senate campaign". Vermont Daily Chronicle. May 19, 2022. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  49. ^ Mearhoff, Sarah (May 30, 2022). "In Vermont election season with historic turnover, some statewide races will see little competition". Valley News. VTDigger. from the original on May 31, 2022. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
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  51. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1546208". from the original on November 15, 2021. Retrieved November 15, 2021.
  52. ^ Jin, Danny (January 24, 2022). "Would-be Adams cannabis merchant, a vaccine critic, seeks Senate seat in Vermont". The Berkshire Eagle. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
  53. ^ "Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Federal Election Committee. November 24, 2021. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
  54. ^ Duffort, Lola (March 3, 2022). "A former child star turned crypto capitalist is bankrolling his own Senate run in Vermont". VTDigger. Valley News. Retrieved April 30, 2022.
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  56. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1574431". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
  57. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
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  63. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
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  65. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  66. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "Endorsements - Welch for Vermont". welchforvermont. Retrieved October 31, 2022.
  67. ^ "Editorial: Endorsements". November 3, 2022.
  68. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses U.S. Rep. Peter Welch of Vermont for U.S. Senate".
  69. ^ "Congressional Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org.
  70. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses U.S. Rep. Peter Welch of Vermont for U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
  71. ^ "Republican US Senate candidate Gerald Malloy endorsed by Donald Trump". VT Digger. November 3, 2022.
  72. ^ a b "Military leaders endorse Gerald Malloy for U.S. Senate". VT Digger. June 29, 2022. Retrieved September 10, 2022.
  73. ^ a b c d "Republican state legislators unite behind Gerald Malloy for U.S. Senate". VT Digger. August 2, 2022. Retrieved September 10, 2022.
  74. ^ "Election Results". Vermont Secretary of State.

External links

Campaign sites
  • Gerald Malloy (R) for Senate
  • Brock Pierce (I) for Senate
  • Kerry Raheb (I) for Senate
  • Peter Welch (D) for Senate

August 22, 2023
2022, united, states, senate, election, vermont, held, november, 2022, elect, member, united, states, senate, represent, state, vermont, held, concurrently, with, senate, elections, other, states, along, with, elections, united, states, house, representatives,. The 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 8 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont It was held concurrently with U S Senate elections in other states along with elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections across the country The incumbent senator Democrat Patrick Leahy announced on November 15 2021 that he would not seek re election to a ninth term 1 leaving the seat open for the first time since 1974 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont 2016 November 8 2022 2028 Nominee Peter Welch Gerald MalloyParty Democratic RepublicanPopular vote 196 575 80 468Percentage 68 5 28 0 County resultsMunicipality resultsWelch 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 gt 90 Malloy 40 50 50 60 60 70 Tie 40 50 U S senator before electionPatrick LeahyDemocratic Elected U S senator Peter WelchDemocraticPrimary elections were held on August 9 2022 with Peter Welch the incumbent U S Representative from the state s at large congressional district winning the Democratic primary while U S Army veteran Gerald Malloy won the Republican primary In heavily Democratic Vermont the Democratic nomination is tantamount to election and on election day Welch defeated Malloy in a landslide He won every county in the state garnering 68 5 of the vote statewide to Malloy s 28 0 The race was called for Welch shortly after polls closed 2 At 75 years old Welch became the oldest person ever elected to a first term in the Senate a record previously held by Frederick H Gillett in 1924 3 He also became only the second Democrat ever elected to the Senate from Vermont after Leahy 2 Contents 1 Democratic primary 1 1 Candidates 1 1 1 Nominee 1 1 2 Eliminated in primary 1 1 3 Declined 1 2 Endorsements 1 3 Polling 1 4 Results 2 Republican primary 2 1 Candidates 2 1 1 Nominee 2 1 2 Eliminated in primary 2 1 3 Declined 2 2 Endorsements 2 3 Polling 2 4 Results 3 Progressive primary 3 1 Candidates 3 1 1 Withdrew after winning primary 3 1 2 Declined 3 2 Results 4 Minor parties and independents 4 1 Candidates 4 1 1 Declared 4 1 2 Declined 5 General election 5 1 Predictions 5 2 Endorsements 5 3 Polling 5 4 Debates 5 5 Results 6 See also 7 Notes 8 References 9 External linksDemocratic primary EditFollowing Leahy s announcement that he would retire speculation arose as to which Democrats could run to succeed him Newsweek cited two of the leading possible contenders for the nomination as Peter Welch who had served as U S Representative for Vermont s at large congressional district since 2006 and President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate Becca Balint 4 Also considering a run was state representative Tanya Vyhovsky 5 However candidates were reluctant to enter the race due to speculation that Bernie Sanders Vermont s popular junior senator would endorse Welch for the open seat 5 It was widely considered that an endorsement from Sanders would essentially lock up the race for Welch 5 While both men were both considered to be associated with the left wing of the Democratic Party Welch was noted by The Intercept to be rather more moderate than Sanders was especially when compared to Vyhovsky 5 Welch announced his campaign for the seat on November 22 2021 pledging in a campaign video to support Medicare for All and the Green New Deal he was immediately endorsed by Sanders 6 7 Candidates Edit Nominee Edit Peter Welch U S Representative for Vermont s at large congressional district 8 9 Eliminated in primary Edit Isaac Evans Frantz peace activist 10 Niki Thran physician 11 Declined Edit Becca Balint President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate 12 13 14 15 running for U S House 16 Sarah Copeland Hanzas state representative 12 T J Donovan Vermont Attorney General 17 18 12 Molly Gray Lieutenant Governor of Vermont 12 15 ran for U S House 19 Christine Hallquist businesswoman and nominee for Governor of Vermont in 2018 20 Jill Krowinski Speaker of the Vermont House of Representatives 12 21 Patrick Leahy incumbent U S senator and president pro tempore 1 Kesha Ram Hinsdale state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2016 15 endorsed Welch running for re election 22 23 Tanya Vyhovsky state representative 24 25 a running for state senate 26 David Zuckerman former Lieutenant Governor of Vermont and Democratic and Progressive nominee for governor in 2020 running for lieutenant governor 27 a Endorsements Edit Isaac Evans FrantzOrganizationsVermont Progressive Party 28 Peter WelchU S SenatorsBernie Sanders U S Senator from Vermont 2007 present former U S Representative for Vermont s at large congressional district 1991 2007 and candidate for President of the United States in 2016 and 2020 29 State legislatorsKesha Ram Hinsdale state senator 2021 present and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2016 30 OrganizationsCouncil for a Livable World 31 End Citizens United 32 Giffords 33 League of Conservation Voters 34 NARAL Pro Choice America 35 Population Connection Action Fund 36 Labor unionsCommunications Workers of America 37 Polling Edit Poll source Date s administered Samplesize b Marginof error IsaacEvans Frantz NikiThran PeterWelch Other UndecidedUniversity of New Hampshire July 21 25 2022 352 LV 5 2 6 1 82 0 10 Results Edit Results by county Welch 70 80 80 90 90 100 Democratic primary results 38 Party Candidate Votes Democratic Peter Welch 86 603 87 01 Democratic Isaac Evans Frantz 7 230 7 26 Democratic Niki Thran 5 104 5 13 Write in 599 0 60 Total votes 99 536 100 0 Republican primary Edit Former U S Attorney Christina Nolan finished second in the primary Candidates Edit Nominee Edit Gerald Malloy businessman and retired U S Army officer 39 40 Eliminated in primary Edit Myers Mermel commercial real estate banker 41 Christina Nolan former U S Attorney for the District of Vermont 42 Declined Edit Jim Douglas former Governor of Vermont and nominee for U S Senate in 1992 43 Phil Scott Governor of Vermont endorsed Nolan running for re election 44 Endorsements Edit Christina NolanU S SenatorsMitch McConnell Senate Minority Leader and U S Senator from Kentucky 1985 present 45 Susan Collins U S Senator from Maine 1997 present 46 GovernorsPhil Scott Governor of Vermont 2017 present 47 Jim Douglas former Governor of Vermont 2003 2011 48 Polling Edit Poll source Date s administered Samplesize b Marginof error GeraldMalloy MyersMermel ChristinaNolan UndecidedUniversity of New Hampshire July 21 25 2022 196 LV 7 0 30 3 24 43 Results Edit Results by county Malloy 40 50 50 60 Nolan 30 40 40 50 50 60 Republican primary results 38 Party Candidate Votes Republican Gerald Malloy 12 169 42 39 Republican Christina Nolan 10 825 37 70 Republican Myers Mermel 5 227 18 21 Write in 489 1 70 Total votes 28 710 100 0 Progressive primary EditCandidates Edit Withdrew after winning primary Edit Martha Abbott former chair of the Vermont Progressive Party and candidate for governor in 2010 2012 and 2014 49 50 Declined Edit Tanya Vyhovsky state representative 24 running for state senate 26 Results Edit Progressive primary results 38 Party Candidate Votes Progressive Martha Abbott 473 86 63 Write in 73 13 37 Total votes 546 100 0 Minor parties and independents EditCandidates Edit Declared Edit Mark Coester truck driver 51 Natasha Diamondstone Kohout Green Mountain 50 Stephen Duke 50 Dawn Marie Ellis 50 Cris Ericson perennial candidate 50 Kerry Patrick Raheb former stock broker 52 53 Declined Edit Brock Pierce cryptocurrency investor former actor and candidate for President of the United States in 2020 54 55 Christopher Helali Party of Communists USA farmer and teacher 56 General election EditPredictions Edit Source Ranking As ofThe Cook Political Report 57 Solid D November 19 2021Inside Elections 58 Solid D January 7 2022Sabato s Crystal Ball 59 Safe D November 3 2021Politico 60 Solid D August 12 2022RCP 61 Safe D November 1 2022Fox News 62 Solid D May 12 2022DDHQ 63 Solid D July 20 2022538 64 Solid D June 30 2022The Economist 65 Safe D September 7 2022Endorsements Edit Peter Welch D U S SenatorsBernie Sanders U S Senator from Vermont 2007 present former U S Representative for Vermont s at large congressional district 1991 2007 and candidate for President of the United States in 2016 and 2020 29 Statewide officialsBeth Pearce Vermont State Treasurer 2011 2023 66 State legislators10 state senators 66 22 state representatives 66 Local officialsKristine Lott Mayor of Winooski 2019 present 66 NewspapersAddison County Independent 67 OrganizationsLet America Vote 66 National Education Association 66 Planned Parenthood Action Fund 66 Natural Resources Defense Council 66 Vermont College Democrats 66 Council for a Livable World 31 End Citizens United 32 Giffords 33 Human Rights Campaign 68 League of Conservation Voters 34 NARAL Pro Choice America 35 Population Connection Action Fund 36 Sierra Club 69 Everytown for Gun Safety 66 Brady Campaign 66 Indivisible Project 66 Vermont State Employees Association 66 Rights and Democracy Vermont 66 Human Rights Campaign 70 Labor unionsCommunications Workers of America 37 Gerald Malloy R U S Executive Branch officialsDonald Trump 45th President of the United States 2017 2021 71 IndividualsPaul Hurley Roman Catholic priest for the Archdiocese of Boston and former U S Army Chief of Chaplains 72 Rich Staats retired U S Army major general and former commanding general of the 75th Innovation Command 72 State legislatorsVicki Strong state representative 73 Larry Labor state representative 73 Art Peterson state representative 73 Mark Higley state representative 73 Polling Edit Poll source Date s administered Samplesize b Marginof error PeterWelch D GeraldMalloy R Other UndecidedData for Progress D October 21 26 2022 1 039 LV 3 0 63 32 4 University of New Hampshire September 29 October 3 2022 765 LV 3 5 62 28 2 c 8 The Trafalgar Group R September 3 7 2022 1 072 LV 2 9 50 43 2 5 Hypothetical pollingPeter Welch vs Christina NolanPoll source Date s administered Samplesize b Marginof error PeterWelch D ChristinaNolan R Other UndecidedUniversity of New Hampshire April 14 18 2022 583 LV 4 1 62 27 1 10 Patrick Leahy vs Phil ScottPoll source Date s administered Samplesize b Marginof error PatrickLeahy D PhilScott R Other UndecidedVPR Vermont PBS September 3 15 2020 582 LV 4 0 38 41 7 15 Debates Edit 2022 United States Senate general election in Vermont debates No Date Host Moderator Link Democratic RepublicanKey P Participant A Absent N Non invitee I Invitee W WithdrawnPeter Welch Gerard Malloy1 Oct 13 2022 Vermont Public Radio Mikaela Lefrak Youtube P PResults Edit 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont 74 Party Candidate Votes Democratic Peter Welch 196 575 68 47 7 21 Republican Gerald Malloy 80 468 28 03 5 00 Independent Dawn Marie Ellis 2 752 0 96 N AGreen Mountain Natasha Diamondstone Kohout 1 574 0 55 N AIndependent Kerry Patrick Raheb 1 532 0 53 N AIndependent Mark Coester 1 273 0 44 N AIndependent Stephen Duke 1 209 0 42 N AIndependent Cris Ericson 1 105 0 38 N AWrite in 612 0 21 0 11 Total votes 287 100 100 N ADemocratic holdSee also Edit2022 United States Senate electionsNotes Edit a b Candidate is a member of the Progressive Party but ran with the Democratic Party s endorsement under Vermont s electoral fusion system a b c d e Key A all adultsRV registered votersLV likely votersV unclear Ericson I with 1 Ellis I with 1 References Edit a b Democratic Sen Patrick Leahy of Vermont the longest serving member of US Senate says he won t run for reelection in 2022 news yahoo com Associated Press November 15 2021 Retrieved June 15 2023 a b Kang Hanna Casado Laura November 8 2022 The Senate has its 1st new member The Week London Retrieved June 15 2023 Fedor Lauren January 2 2023 First time senators take their seats as Democrats maintain slim majority Financial Times London Retrieved June 15 2023 Hutzler Alexandra November 15 2021 Who Will Run for Patrick Leahy s Seat Vermont s Longest Serving Senator to Retire Newsweek Retrieved August 16 2022 a b c d Grim Ryan November 14 2021 Bernie Sanders Could Snuff Out a Potential Primary Contest to Replace Patrick Leahy The Intercept Retrieved August 16 2022 Forgey Quint November 22 2021 Rep Peter Welch launches Senate bid for Leahy s seat Politico Axel Springer SE Retrieved August 16 2022 Bowman Bridget November 22 2021 Welch launches Vermont Senate run with Sanders backing Roll Call FiscalNote Retrieved August 16 2022 Forgey Quint November 22 2021 Rep Peter Welch launches Senate bid for Leahy s seat Politico Archived from the original on November 22 2021 Retrieved November 22 2021 Rep Peter Welch announces run for U S Senate WCAX TV Burlington Vt November 22 2021 Archived from the original on November 22 2021 Retrieved November 22 2021 Isaac Evans Frantz announces bid for US Senate in Vermont April 11 2022 Retrieved April 12 2022 Physician Niki Thran to run for Vermont Senate seat January 14 2022 Retrieved March 21 2022 a b c d e Heintz Paul November 18 2020 If Sanders Joined Biden s Cabinet Who Would Succeed Him in the Senate Seven Days Archived from the original on November 25 2020 Retrieved November 27 2020 O Connor Kevin November 3 2020 Senate leader Becca Balint s new signs hint at future statewide run VTDigger Archived from the original on December 5 2020 Retrieved November 27 2020 Sukiennik Greg November 23 2020 Balint women leaders Brock make history as Senate leadership shifts Brattleboro Reformer Archived from the original on November 29 2020 Retrieved November 27 2020 a b c Goldstein Sasha November 1 2021 Will Leahy Run As He Ponders Three Potential Congressional Candidates Gear up Archived from the original on November 10 2021 Retrieved November 10 2021 Duffort Lola December 13 2021 Becca Balint leader of the Vermont Senate joins race for US House VTDigger Retrieved December 14 2021 Davis Eric October 24 2019 Vermont elections may lack drama Addison County Independent Archived from the original on October 28 2020 Retrieved October 25 2020 Xander Landen amp Kit Norton October 29 2019 Democrats poll Zuckerman and Donovan for governor as Holcombe presses ahead VTDigger Archived from the original on October 29 2020 Retrieved October 25 2020 Lt Gov Molly Gray announces run for Vermont s sole US House seat myNBC5 com December 6 2021 Archived from the original on December 6 2021 Retrieved December 6 2021 Coleman J Miles 2022 Senate Races Initial Ratings Sabato s Crystal Ball Retrieved February 16 2021 Johnson Mark June 16 2021 Column Lt Gov Molly Gray Says She s Too Focused on Her Current Role to Think About Running for Congress sevendaysvt com Cutler Calvin May 27 2022 Kesha Ram Hinsdale drops out of US House race endorses Becca Balint WCAX Retrieved May 27 2022 Mearhoff Sarah January 13 2022 Sen Kesha Ram Hinsdale launches campaign for US House VTDigger Vermont Journalism Trust Retrieved January 15 2022 a b Grim Ryan November 14 2021 Bernie Sanders could snuff out a potential primary challenge to replace Patrick Leahy Archived from the original on November 15 2021 Retrieved November 15 2021 Sukiennik Greg November 15 2021 Leaders potential candidates hail U S Sen Patrick Leahy as he announces 2022 retirement Bennington Banner Archived from the original on November 18 2021 Retrieved November 18 2021 a b Higdon Bridget May 4 2022 Rep Tanya Vyhovsky announces candidacy for new Chittenden Central State Senate District The Essex Reporter Lindholm Jane JaneLindholm November 15 2021 David Zuckerman coming out of the gate fast with his declaration on vermontedition that he will NOT be running for the open Senate seat and he advises patience for others who are considering jumping in vtpoli Guess I won t make my announcement quite yet then Tweet Archived from the original on November 15 2021 Retrieved November 16 2021 via Twitter Mearhoff Sarah June 7 2022 Isaac Evans Frantz doesn t want the US Senate race to be a coronation VT Digger Retrieved August 5 2022 a b Knutson Jacob November 22 2021 Vermont Rep Peter Welch to seek Leahy s Senate seat Axios Archived from the original on November 22 2021 Retrieved November 22 2021 Congressman Peter Welch to run for U S Senate after Sen Leahy opts to not seek re election Vermont Public Radio November 22 2021 Archived from the original on November 22 2021 Retrieved November 25 2021 a b Senate Candidates Council for a Livable World a b Candidates endcitizensunited org End Citizens United Retrieved May 30 2022 a b Giffords Endorses Congressman Peter Welch for the US Senate www giffords org Giffords April 29 2022 a b LCV ACTION FUND ANNOUNCES FIRST ROUND OF NON INCUMBENT SENATE ENDORSEMENTS www lcv org February 2 2022 Retrieved February 2 2022 a b NARAL Pro Choice America Endorses Rep Peter Welch for Election to the U S Senate www prochoiceamerica org February 15 2022 a b 2022 House amp Senate Endorsements Population Connection Action Fund Archived from the original on July 2 2022 Retrieved April 21 2022 a b 2022 CWA Endorsed Candidates Vermont Communications Workers of America March 24 2022 Retrieved April 26 2022 a b c 2022 August Primary Federal and Statewide Office Canvass Report PDF Vermont Secretary of State Republican candidates for U S Senate and House to hold forum in Milton May 14 Milton Independent May 5 2022 Retrieved May 11 2022 FEC Form 2 Federal Election Committee March 18 2022 Retrieved May 11 2022 Myers Mermel announces his candidacy for Us Senate in Vermont Cision PR Newswire May 27 2022 Retrieved May 28 2022 Beals Monique February 22 2022 Former US attorney launches Senate bid in Vermont thehill com The Hill Retrieved February 22 2022 Reed Nathaniel ReedReports November 15 2021 JUST IN Former Longtime Vermont Governor Jim Douglas R VT 2003 2011 tells me Newsy he will NOT run for Senate in 2022 Says he assumes Rep PeterWelch D VT would be the favorite if he decides to run Tweet Archived from the original on November 15 2021 Retrieved November 16 2021 via Twitter Scanlon Kate November 15 2021 GOP Vermont governor says he won t run for Senate seat Leahy s giving up Washington Examiner Archived from the original on November 19 2021 Retrieved November 20 2021 Mitch McConnell to headline Christina Nolan campaign fundraiser Vermont Digger May 2 2022 Retrieved May 4 2022 Mearhoff Sarah Skillman Kori August 9 2022 Peter Welch to face Gerald Malloy in Vermont s US Senate race VT Digger Retrieved August 17 2022 Cooney Melissa February 22 2022 Nolan to run for US Senate wcax com Retrieved February 28 2022 Jim Douglas to chair Nolan for Senate campaign Vermont Daily Chronicle May 19 2022 Retrieved June 1 2022 Mearhoff Sarah May 30 2022 In Vermont election season with historic turnover some statewide races will see little competition Valley News VTDigger Archived from the original on May 31 2022 Retrieved June 4 2022 a b c d e General Election Candidates Vermont Secretary of State Retrieved August 30 2022 FEC Form 2 for Report FEC 1546208 Archived from the original on November 15 2021 Retrieved November 15 2021 Jin Danny January 24 2022 Would be Adams cannabis merchant a vaccine critic seeks Senate seat in Vermont The Berkshire Eagle Retrieved January 28 2022 Statement of Candidacy PDF Federal Election Committee November 24 2021 Retrieved January 28 2022 Duffort Lola March 3 2022 A former child star turned crypto capitalist is bankrolling his own Senate run in Vermont VTDigger Valley News Retrieved April 30 2022 FEC Form 2 Filing FEC 1547935 Federal Election Committee November 11 2021 Retrieved July 1 2022 FEC Form 2 for Report FEC 1574431 docquery fec gov Retrieved March 21 2022 2022 Senate Race ratings The Cook Political Report Retrieved January 14 2021 Senate ratings Inside Elections Retrieved January 18 2021 2022 Senate Sabato s Crystal Ball Retrieved January 28 2021 Vermont Senate Race 2022 Politico April 1 2022 Battle for the Senate 2022 RCP January 10 2022 2022 Election Forecast Fox News May 12 2022 Retrieved May 12 2022 2022 Election Forecast DDHQ July 20 2022 Retrieved July 20 2022 2022 Election Forecast FiveThirtyEight June 30 2022 Retrieved June 30 2022 Economist s 2022 Senate forecast The Economist September 7 2022 Retrieved September 7 2022 a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Endorsements Welch for Vermont welchforvermont Retrieved October 31 2022 Editorial Endorsements November 3 2022 Human Rights Campaign Endorses U S Rep Peter Welch of Vermont for U S Senate Congressional Endorsements Sierra Club Independent Action www sierraclubindependentaction org Human Rights Campaign Endorses U S Rep Peter Welch of Vermont for U S Senate Human Rights Campaign Retrieved November 29 2022 Republican US Senate candidate Gerald Malloy endorsed by Donald Trump VT Digger November 3 2022 a b Military leaders endorse Gerald Malloy for U S Senate VT Digger June 29 2022 Retrieved September 10 2022 a b c d Republican state legislators unite behind Gerald Malloy for U S Senate VT Digger August 2 2022 Retrieved September 10 2022 Election Results Vermont Secretary of State External links EditCampaign sitesGerald Malloy R for Senate Brock Pierce I for Senate Kerry Raheb I for Senate Peter Welch D for Senate Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont amp oldid 1169562619, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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