2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary
The 2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
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Results by county Clinton: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Sanders: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||||
On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own Illinois primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.
Clinton's win came thanks to African American neighborhoods of Chicago.[1] Precinct-level results showed a close race with Latino voters: with Sanders performing in Mexican American neighborhoods and Clinton in Puerto Rican neighborhoods.[1]
Opinion polling edit
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary results | March 15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 50.6% | Bernie Sanders 48.6% | Others 0.8% |
| McKeon & Associates[2] Margin of error: ± 4.1% | March 12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 31% | Bernie Sanders 30% | Others / Undecided 39% |
| Public Policy Polling[3] Margin of error: ± 3.9% | March 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 48% | Bernie Sanders 45% | Others / Undecided 7% |
| CBS News/YouGov[4] Margin of error: ± 5.5% | March 9–11, 2016 | Bernie Sanders 48% | Hillary Clinton 46% | Others / Undecided 6% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[5] Margin of error: ± 4.3% | March 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 51% | Bernie Sanders 45% | Others / Undecided 4% |
| We Ask America[6] Margin of error: ± 3.11% | March 7–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 62% | Bernie Sanders 25% | Others / Undecided 13% |
| Chicago Tribune[7] Margin of error: ±4.1% | March 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 67% | Bernie Sanders 25% | Others / Undecided 8% |
| We Ask America[8] Margin of error: ± 3.0 | February 24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 57% | Bernie Sanders 28% | Others / Undecided 15% |
| The Simon Poll/SIU[9] Margin of error: ± 5.6 | February 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 51% | Bernie Sanders 32% | Others / Undecided 17% |
| The Illinois Observer[10] Margin of error: ± 4.23 | February 11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% | Bernie Sanders 25% | Others / Undecided 18% |
| Public Policy Polling[11] Margin of error: ± 4.9% | July 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 60% | Bernie Sanders 23% | Others / Undecided 17% |
Results edit
| 2016 Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary Results | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates | ||
| Democratic | Hillary Rodham Clinton | 1,039,055 | 50.56% | 79 | ||
| Democratic | Bernard Sanders | 999,494 | 48.61% | 77 | ||
| Democratic | Willie Wilson | 6,565 | 0.32% | 0 | ||
| Democratic | Martin Joseph O'Malley | 6,197 | 0.30% | 0 | ||
| Democratic | Lawrence Cohen | 2,407 | 0.12% | 0 | ||
| Democratic | Rocky De La Fuente | 1,802 | 0.09% | 0 | ||
| Democratic | Others | 27 | 0.00% | 0 | ||
| Totals | 2,056,047 | 100.00% | 156 | |||
| Voter turnout | % | — | ||||
Results by county edit
| County | Clinton | Votes | Sanders | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams | 50.78% | 1,784 | 47.08% | 1,654 |
| Alexander | 59.97% | 770 | 33.80% | 434 |
| Bond | 44.94% | 719 | 53.44% | 855 |
| Boone | 41.11% | 1,958 | 58.30% | 2,777 |
| Brown | 49.23% | 160 | 48.00% | 156 |
| Bureau | 44.44% | 1,523 | 54.27% | 1,860 |
| Calhoun | 44.92% | 447 | 50.65% | 504 |
| Carroll | 48.75% | 625 | 50.08% | 642 |
| Cass | 46.93% | 504 | 50.19% | 539 |
| Champaign | 33.24% | 10,721 | 66.48% | 21,440 |
| Christian | 46.86% | 1,401 | 51.14% | 1,529 |
| Clark | 44.75% | 562 | 52.87 | 664 |
| Clay | 44.89% | 378 | 52.14% | 439 |
| Clinton | 41.14% | 908 | 57.54% | 1,270 |
| Coles | 39.96% | 1,714 | 58.92% | 2,527 |
| Cook | 53.66% | 633,300 | 45.49% | 536,805 |
| Crawford | 49.96% | 609 | 47.99% | 585 |
| Cumberland | 39.57% | 364 | 56.30% | 518 |
| Dekalb | 33.10% | 4,146 | 66.50% | 8,330 |
| De Witt | 45.32% | 561 | 53.31% | 660 |
| Douglas | 42.27% | 484 | 56.16% | 643 |
| DuPage | 47.32% | 59,798 | 52.35% | 66,163 |
| Edgar | 47.40% | 446 | 49.73% | 468 |
| Edwards | 48.15% | 143 | 49.83% | 148 |
| Effingham | 40.35% | 868 | 58.02% | 1,248 |
| Fayette | 47.90% | 616 | 50.00% | 643 |
| Ford | 39.08% | 288 | 59.43% | 438 |
| Franklin | 42.13% | 2,179 | 53.79% | 2,782 |
| Fulton | 45.15% | 2,153 | 53.26% | 2,540 |
| Gallatin | 40.35% | 531 | 50.38% | 663 |
| Greene | 46.90% | 507 | 49.49% | 535 |
| Grundy | 39.44% | 2,053 | 59.67% | 3,106 |
| Hamilton | 42.83% | 418 | 49.69% | 485 |
| Hancock | 56.39% | 631 | 41.82% | 468 |
| Hardin | 40.40% | 162 | 55.36% | 222 |
| Henderson | 52.07% | 339 | 45.47% | 296 |
| Henry | 50.65% | 2,159 | 48.44% | 2,065 |
| Iroquois | 37.47% | 544 | 60.67% | 881 |
| Jackson | 37.40% | 2,842 | 62.03% | 4,713 |
| Jasper | 40.54% | 328 | 53.65% | 434 |
| Jefferson | 47.15% | 1,678 | 49.93% | 1,777 |
| Jersey | 43.59% | 857 | 54.48% | 1,071 |
| Jo Daviess | 51.44% | 1,320 | 47.78% | 1,226 |
| Johnson | 45.13% | 361 | 52.50% | 420 |
| Kane | 43.41% | 23,505 | 56.21% | 30,234 |
| Kankakee | 45.67% | 4,902 | 53.67% | 5,761 |
| Kendall | 41.54% | 5,611 | 58.04% | 7,841 |
| Knox | 47.27% | 2,957 | 51.50% | 3,222 |
| Lake | 52.68% | 50,271 | 46.97% | 44,823 |
| LaSalle | 43.47% | 5,279 | 55.55% | 6,746 |
| Lawrence | 46.85% | 417 | 48.43% | 431 |
| Lee | 39.46% | 1,295 | 59.75% | 1,961 |
| Livingston | 43.47% | 832 | 55.07% | 1,054 |
| Logan | 42.79% | 739 | 56.40% | 974 |
| McDonough | 41.43% | 1,054 | 57.82% | 1,471 |
| McHenry | 38.82% | 13,221 | 60.78% | 20,702 |
| McLean | 37.11% | 7,726 | 62.48% | 13,008 |
| Macon | 53.86% | 5,958 | 45.15% | 4,995 |
| Macoupin | 43.10% | 2,783 | 54.78% | 3,537 |
| Madison | 44.04% | 15,572 | 55.04% | 19,463 |
| Marion | 47.65% | 1,630 | 49.93% | 1,708 |
| Marshall | 49.01% | 569 | 50.47% | 586 |
| Mason | 49.10% | 680 | 48.88% | 677 |
| Massac | 51.38% | 549 | 46.81% | 492 |
| Menard | 44.37% | 398 | 54.74% | 491 |
| Mercer | 51.27% | 496 | 46.61% | 860 |
| Monroe | 44.21% | 1,438 | 54.66% | 1,778 |
| Montgomery | 48.28% | 1,250 | 49.32% | 1,277 |
| Morgan | 41.54% | 936 | 57.17% | 1,288 |
| Moultrie | 44.27% | 467 | 53.65% | 566 |
| Ogle | 40.17% | 2,642 | 59.20% | 2,642 |
| Peoria | 52.14% | 11,473 | 47.31% | 10,409 |
| Perry | 46.82% | 855 | 50.99% | 931 |
| Piatt | 43.01% | 788 | 55.51% | 1,017 |
| Pike | 50.92% | 497 | 46.21% | 451 |
| Pope | 37.20% | 109 | 60.07% | 176 |
| Pulaski | 61.70% | 385 | 34.78% | 217 |
| Putnam | 46.71% | 455 | 51.75% | 504 |
| Randolph | 44.59% | 1,314 | 52.77% | 1,555 |
| Richland | 43.75% | 448 | 53.81% | 551 |
| Rock Island | 51.62% | 10,240 | 47.11% | 9,345 |
| St. Clair | 59.95% | 24,218 | 39.21% | 15,838 |
| Saline | 45.95% | 1,054 | 50.48% | 1,158 |
| Sangamon | 46.91% | 9,295 | 52.57% | 10,416 |
| Schuyler | 54.36% | 368 | 43.43% | 294 |
| Scott | 46.58% | 150 | 50.00% | 161 |
| Shelby | 44.09% | 783 | 52.98% | 941 |
| Stark | 47.13% | 197 | 51.44% | 215 |
| Stephenson | 49.00% | 1,989 | 49.99% | 2,029 |
| Tazewell | 44.71% | 5,905 | 54.46% | 7,192 |
| Union | 43.23% | 921 | 54.23% | 1,153 |
| Vermilion | 51.23% | 3,048 | 47.13% | 2,803 |
| Wabash | 49.72% | 356 | 48.18% | 345 |
| Warren | 49.02% | 726 | 50.03% | 741 |
| Washington | 39.67% | 409 | 57.71% | 595 |
| Wayne | 41.27% | 319 | 54.20% | 419 |
| White | 48.96% | 565 | 46.01% | 531 |
| Whiteside | 47.95% | 2,900 | 51.41% | 3,109 |
| Will | 47.06% | 42,799 | 52.42% | 47,674 |
| Williamson | 42.23% | 2,985 | 55.30% | 3,909 |
| Winnebago | 47.11% | 15,097 | 52.37% | 16,784 |
| Woodford | 43.80% | 1,279 | 55.48% | 1,620 |
| Total | 50.56% | 1,039,555 | 48.61% | 999,494 |
Source:[12]
Analysis edit
Hillary Clinton won her birth state of Illinois by a 2-point margin, by winning with African American voters (70-30), women (55-45), and older voters (63-36), especially senior citizens (70-29). This margin was narrower than might have been expected, with Bernie Sanders winning with voters under the age of 45 (70%-30%) who made up 39% of the electorate and white voters (57-42) who made up 58% of the electorate. He also won men, 53–45. According to exit polls, the Hispanic/Latino vote was split, with Sanders narrowly winning 50–49.
As became a trend in the Democratic primary race, Hillary Clinton won Democrats (57-42), but Sanders won self-identified Independents (69-30).
Clinton performed well in Chicago where the electorate is more diverse (she won 54–46) and in the Cook Suburbs (she won 53–46). Sanders performed well in the Collar Counties (he won 52–47) in the north (he won 53–46) and in the central/south part of the state which is whiter and more rural (he won 54–45).[13]
See also edit
References edit
- ^ a b c Hansen, Mary (April 4, 2016). "Clinton's Illinois win comes despite Sanders' suburban support". Daily Herald. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
- ^ "ANALYSIS: 2016 Illinois Democratic Primary" (PDF).
- ^ "Midwestern States a Toss Up Tuesday" (PDF).
- ^ "Poll: Trump and Kasich neck-and-neck in Ohio; Trump leads in Florida".
- ^ "Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio".
- ^ "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary March 8".
- ^ "Clinton holds commanding lead over Sanders in Illinois". Retrieved March 8, 2016.
- ^ "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary".
- ^ "Simon Poll: Clinton, Trump Lead in Illinois" (PDF).
- ^ "Poll: Clinton Lead in Illinois Over Sanders Slips".
- ^ "Kirk Unpopular, Trails Duckworth" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved July 29, 2015.
- ^ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
- ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.