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2004 United States presidential election in Idaho

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2004 United States presidential election in Idaho

← 2000 November 2, 2004 2008 →
Turnout75.0% (of registered voters)
60.2% (of voting age population)
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 4 0
Popular vote 409,235 181,098
Percentage 68.38% 30.26%

County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 presidential election. Voters chose four representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Idaho was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 38.1 point margin of victory. Prior to the election, all twelve news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. No Democratic presidential nominee won the state since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 and even then it was close. In 2004, President George W. Bush easily won the state and every congressional district and county, except the Democratic stronghold of Blaine County. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last election in which Latah County voted for a Republican presidential candidate.

With 68.38 percent of the popular vote, Idaho would prove to be Bush's third strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah and Wyoming.[1]

Caucuses edit

Campaign edit

Predictions edit

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

Source Ranking
D.C. Political Report Solid R
Associated Press Solid R
CNN Likely R
Cook Political Report Solid R
Newsweek Solid R
New York Times Solid R
Rasmussen Reports Likely R
Research 2000 Solid R
Washington Post Likely R
Washington Times Solid R
Zogby International Likely R
Washington Dispatch Likely R

Polling edit

Only one pre-election poll was taken, which gave Bush 59%, Kerry 30%, and Nader 3%.[3]

Fundraising edit

Bush raised $371,495.[4] Kerry raised $359,011.[5]

Advertising and visits edit

Neither campaign visited or campaigned here during the fall election.[6][7]

Analysis edit

With a substantial Mormon population, Idaho is one of the most reliable GOP bastions in the country. Both senators and representatives are Republican. It has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Democrats have not held the state legislature since 1958, though Democrats held the governorship from 1971 to 1995.

Results edit

2004 United States presidential election in Idaho[8]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 409,235 68.38% 4
Democratic John Kerry 181,098 30.26% 0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 3,844 0.64% 0
Constitution Party Michael Peroutka 3,038 0.51% 0
Write In Ralph Nader 1,115 0.19% 0
Write In David Cobb 58 0.01% 0
Write In John Joseph Kennedy 9 <0.01% 0
Write In Walt Brown 3 <0.01% 0
Totals 598,447 100.00% 4
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 60.2%

Results by county edit

County George W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Michael J. Badnarik[9]
Libertarian
Michael Anthony Peroutka[9]
Constitution
Various Other Candidates[9]
Write In
Margin Total
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Ada 94,641 61.05% 58,523 37.75% 1,041 0.67% 449 0.29% 376 0.24% 36,118 23.30% 155,030
Adams 1,468 71.16% 555 26.90% 14 0.68% 24 1.16% 2 0.10% 913 44.26% 2,063
Bannock 21,479 61.64% 12,903 37.03% 244 0.70% 125 0.36% 93 0.26% 8,576 24.61% 34,844
Bear Lake 2,506 82.43% 494 16.25% 12 0.39% 22 0.72% 6 0.20% 2,012 66.18% 3,040
Benewah 2,823 69.70% 1,148 28.35% 34 0.84% 35 0.86% 10 0.25% 1,675 41.35% 4,050
Bingham 12,734 76.87% 3,605 21.76% 105 0.63% 107 0.65% 14 0.08% 9,129 55.11% 16,565
Blaine 4,034 39.76% 5,992 59.05% 80 0.79% 23 0.23% 18 0.18% -1,958 -19.29% 10,147
Boise 2,501 70.91% 970 27.50% 31 0.88% 15 0.43% 10 0.28% 1,531 43.41% 3,527
Bonner 10,697 60.49% 6,649 37.60% 139 0.79% 146 0.83% 53 0.30% 4,048 22.89% 17,684
Bonneville 30,048 77.30% 8,356 21.50% 229 0.59% 184 0.47% 54 0.14% 21,692 55.80% 38,871
Boundary 3,012 68.78% 1,268 28.96% 51 1.16% 31 0.71% 17 0.39% 1,744 39.82% 4,379
Butte 1,077 76.60% 321 22.83% 4 0.28% 4 0.28% 0 0.00% 756 53.77% 1,406
Camas 450 75.63% 139 23.36% 1 0.17% 5 0.84% 0 0.00% 311 52.27% 595
Canyon 41,599 74.69% 13,415 24.09% 346 0.62% 269 0.48% 69 0.12% 28,184 50.60% 55,698
Caribou 2,753 83.91% 491 14.96% 21 0.64% 8 0.24% 8 0.24% 2,262 68.95% 3,281
Cassia 6,562 83.90% 1,153 14.74% 48 0.61% 54 0.69% 4 0.05% 5,409 69.16% 7,821
Clark 302 85.55% 46 13.03% 2 0.57% 3 0.85% 0 0.00% 256 72.52% 353
Clearwater 2,839 70.38% 1,117 27.69% 40 0.99% 35 0.87% 3 0.07% 1,722 42.69% 4,034
Custer 1,762 74.72% 559 23.71% 18 0.76% 13 0.55% 6 0.25% 1,203 51.01% 2,358
Elmore 6,011 74.57% 1,959 24.30% 45 0.56% 29 0.36% 17 0.21% 4,052 50.27% 8,061
Franklin 4,527 89.57% 456 9.02% 19 0.38% 51 1.01% 1 0.02% 4,071 80.55% 5,054
Fremont 4,965 86.06% 741 12.84% 22 0.38% 34 0.59% 7 0.12% 4,224 73.22% 5,769
Gem 5,416 75.92% 1,628 22.82% 34 0.48% 37 0.52% 19 0.27% 3,788 53.10% 7,134
Gooding 3,973 74.61% 1,278 24.00% 29 0.54% 31 0.58% 14 0.26% 2,695 50.61% 5,325
Idaho 6,017 75.50% 1,689 21.19% 49 0.61% 202 2.53% 13 0.16% 4,328 54.31% 7,970
Jefferson 7,703 86.49% 1,084 12.17% 41 0.46% 72 0.81% 6 0.07% 6,619 74.32% 8,906
Jerome 5,177 78.68% 1,344 20.43% 31 0.47% 18 0.27% 10 0.15% 3,833 58.25% 6,580
Kootenai 36,173 66.25% 17,584 32.20% 303 0.55% 408 0.75% 135 0.25% 18,589 34.05% 54,603
Latah 8,686 49.48% 8,430 48.03% 239 1.36% 125 0.71% 73 0.41% 256 1.45% 17,553
Lemhi 3,079 75.93% 915 22.56% 37 0.91% 16 0.39% 8 0.20% 2,164 53.37% 4,055
Lewis 1,359 74.67% 440 24.18% 7 0.38% 10 0.55% 4 0.22% 919 50.49% 1,820
Lincoln 1,388 73.99% 466 24.84% 9 0.48% 9 0.48% 4 0.21% 922 49.15% 1,876
Madison 10,693 91.89% 826 7.10% 35 0.30% 69 0.59% 14 0.12% 9,867 84.79% 11,637
Minidoka 5,797 80.50% 1,331 18.48% 33 0.46% 35 0.49% 5 0.07% 4,466 62.02% 7,201
Nez Perce 11,009 62.20% 6,476 36.59% 112 0.63% 82 0.46% 21 0.12% 4,533 25.61% 17,700
Oneida 1,789 83.87% 304 14.25% 9 0.42% 30 1.41% 1 0.05% 1,485 69.62% 2,133
Owyhee 2,859 79.64% 685 19.08% 27 0.75% 17 0.47% 2 0.06% 2,174 60.56% 3,590
Payette 6,256 76.47% 1,848 22.59% 39 0.48% 34 0.42% 4 0.05% 4,408 53.88% 8,181
Power 2,105 71.16% 829 28.03% 13 0.44% 10 0.34% 1 0.03% 1,276 43.13% 2,958
Shoshone 2,922 54.75% 2,331 43.68% 35 0.66% 41 0.77% 8 0.15% 591 11.07% 5,337
Teton 2,235 60.57% 1,416 38.37% 24 0.65% 2 0.05% 13 0.35% 819 22.20% 3,690
Twin Falls 19,672 74.42% 6,458 24.43% 146 0.55% 119 0.45% 40 0.15% 13,214 49.99% 26,435
Valley 2,863 59.97% 1,843 38.60% 29 0.61% 18 0.38% 21 0.44% 1,020 21.37% 4,774
Washington 3,274 75.11% 1,033 23.70% 17 0.39% 33 0.76% 2 0.05% 2,241 51.41% 4,359
Totals 409,235 68.38% 181,098 30.26% 3,844 0.64% 3,084 0.52% 1,186 0.20% 228,137 38.12% 598,447

By congressional district edit

Bush won both congressional districts.

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 69% 30% Butch Otter
2nd 69% 30% Mike Simpson

Electors edit

Technically the voters of Idaho cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Idaho is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from Idaho. All were pledged to and voted for George Bush and Dick Cheney.

  1. Pete T. Cenarrusa
  2. Debbie Field
  3. Sandra Patano
  4. John Sandy

See also edit

Notes edit

References edit

  1. ^ "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
  2. ^ . dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved January 17, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. ^ "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". uselectionatlas.org. Archived from the original on July 16, 2012. Retrieved January 26, 2022.
  4. ^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  5. ^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  6. ^ "Specials". Cnn.com. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  7. ^ "Specials". Cnn.com. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  8. ^ Official General Election Results For United States President November 2, 2004 May 13, 2009, at the Wayback Machine
  9. ^ a b c Our Campaigns; ID US President, November 02, 2004

External links edit

  • Dave Leip's U.S. Election Atlas
  • Archives.gov

2004, united, states, presidential, election, idaho, main, article, 2004, united, states, presidential, election, 2000, november, 2004, 2008, turnout75, registered, voters, voting, population, nominee, george, bush, john, kerry, party, republican, democratic, . Main article 2004 United States presidential election 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho 2000 November 2 2004 2008 Turnout75 0 of registered voters 60 2 of voting age population Nominee George W Bush John Kerry Party Republican Democratic Home state Texas Massachusetts Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards Electoral vote 4 0 Popular vote 409 235 181 098 Percentage 68 38 30 26 County Results Bush 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 Kerry 50 60 President before election George W Bush Republican Elected President George W Bush Republican The 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 2 2004 and was part of the 2004 presidential election Voters chose four representatives or electors to the Electoral College who voted for president and vice president Idaho was won by incumbent President George W Bush by a 38 1 point margin of victory Prior to the election all twelve news organizations considered this a state Bush would win or otherwise considered as a safe red state No Democratic presidential nominee won the state since Lyndon B Johnson in 1964 and even then it was close In 2004 President George W Bush easily won the state and every congressional district and county except the Democratic stronghold of Blaine County As of the 2020 presidential election update this is the last election in which Latah County voted for a Republican presidential candidate With 68 38 percent of the popular vote Idaho would prove to be Bush s third strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah and Wyoming 1 Contents 1 Caucuses 2 Campaign 2 1 Predictions 2 2 Polling 2 3 Fundraising 2 4 Advertising and visits 3 Analysis 4 Results 4 1 Results by county 4 2 By congressional district 5 Electors 6 See also 7 Notes 8 References 9 External linksCaucuses edit2004 Idaho Democratic presidential caucusesCampaign editPredictions edit There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election Here are their last predictions before election day 2 Source Ranking D C Political Report Solid R Associated Press Solid R CNN Likely R Cook Political Report Solid R Newsweek Solid R New York Times Solid R Rasmussen Reports Likely R Research 2000 Solid R Washington Post Likely R Washington Times Solid R Zogby International Likely R Washington Dispatch Likely R Polling edit Only one pre election poll was taken which gave Bush 59 Kerry 30 and Nader 3 3 Fundraising edit Bush raised 371 495 4 Kerry raised 359 011 5 Advertising and visits edit Neither campaign visited or campaigned here during the fall election 6 7 Analysis editWith a substantial Mormon population Idaho is one of the most reliable GOP bastions in the country Both senators and representatives are Republican It has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B Johnson in 1964 Democrats have not held the state legislature since 1958 though Democrats held the governorship from 1971 to 1995 Results edit2004 United States presidential election in Idaho 8 Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes Republican George W Bush incumbent 409 235 68 38 4 Democratic John Kerry 181 098 30 26 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 3 844 0 64 0 Constitution Party Michael Peroutka 3 038 0 51 0 Write In Ralph Nader 1 115 0 19 0 Write In David Cobb 58 0 01 0 Write In John Joseph Kennedy 9 lt 0 01 0 Write In Walt Brown 3 lt 0 01 0 Totals 598 447 100 00 4 Voter turnout Voting age population 60 2 Results by county edit County George W BushRepublican John KerryDemocratic Michael J Badnarik 9 Libertarian Michael Anthony Peroutka 9 Constitution Various Other Candidates 9 Write In Margin Total Ada 94 641 61 05 58 523 37 75 1 041 0 67 449 0 29 376 0 24 36 118 23 30 155 030 Adams 1 468 71 16 555 26 90 14 0 68 24 1 16 2 0 10 913 44 26 2 063 Bannock 21 479 61 64 12 903 37 03 244 0 70 125 0 36 93 0 26 8 576 24 61 34 844 Bear Lake 2 506 82 43 494 16 25 12 0 39 22 0 72 6 0 20 2 012 66 18 3 040 Benewah 2 823 69 70 1 148 28 35 34 0 84 35 0 86 10 0 25 1 675 41 35 4 050 Bingham 12 734 76 87 3 605 21 76 105 0 63 107 0 65 14 0 08 9 129 55 11 16 565 Blaine 4 034 39 76 5 992 59 05 80 0 79 23 0 23 18 0 18 1 958 19 29 10 147 Boise 2 501 70 91 970 27 50 31 0 88 15 0 43 10 0 28 1 531 43 41 3 527 Bonner 10 697 60 49 6 649 37 60 139 0 79 146 0 83 53 0 30 4 048 22 89 17 684 Bonneville 30 048 77 30 8 356 21 50 229 0 59 184 0 47 54 0 14 21 692 55 80 38 871 Boundary 3 012 68 78 1 268 28 96 51 1 16 31 0 71 17 0 39 1 744 39 82 4 379 Butte 1 077 76 60 321 22 83 4 0 28 4 0 28 0 0 00 756 53 77 1 406 Camas 450 75 63 139 23 36 1 0 17 5 0 84 0 0 00 311 52 27 595 Canyon 41 599 74 69 13 415 24 09 346 0 62 269 0 48 69 0 12 28 184 50 60 55 698 Caribou 2 753 83 91 491 14 96 21 0 64 8 0 24 8 0 24 2 262 68 95 3 281 Cassia 6 562 83 90 1 153 14 74 48 0 61 54 0 69 4 0 05 5 409 69 16 7 821 Clark 302 85 55 46 13 03 2 0 57 3 0 85 0 0 00 256 72 52 353 Clearwater 2 839 70 38 1 117 27 69 40 0 99 35 0 87 3 0 07 1 722 42 69 4 034 Custer 1 762 74 72 559 23 71 18 0 76 13 0 55 6 0 25 1 203 51 01 2 358 Elmore 6 011 74 57 1 959 24 30 45 0 56 29 0 36 17 0 21 4 052 50 27 8 061 Franklin 4 527 89 57 456 9 02 19 0 38 51 1 01 1 0 02 4 071 80 55 5 054 Fremont 4 965 86 06 741 12 84 22 0 38 34 0 59 7 0 12 4 224 73 22 5 769 Gem 5 416 75 92 1 628 22 82 34 0 48 37 0 52 19 0 27 3 788 53 10 7 134 Gooding 3 973 74 61 1 278 24 00 29 0 54 31 0 58 14 0 26 2 695 50 61 5 325 Idaho 6 017 75 50 1 689 21 19 49 0 61 202 2 53 13 0 16 4 328 54 31 7 970 Jefferson 7 703 86 49 1 084 12 17 41 0 46 72 0 81 6 0 07 6 619 74 32 8 906 Jerome 5 177 78 68 1 344 20 43 31 0 47 18 0 27 10 0 15 3 833 58 25 6 580 Kootenai 36 173 66 25 17 584 32 20 303 0 55 408 0 75 135 0 25 18 589 34 05 54 603 Latah 8 686 49 48 8 430 48 03 239 1 36 125 0 71 73 0 41 256 1 45 17 553 Lemhi 3 079 75 93 915 22 56 37 0 91 16 0 39 8 0 20 2 164 53 37 4 055 Lewis 1 359 74 67 440 24 18 7 0 38 10 0 55 4 0 22 919 50 49 1 820 Lincoln 1 388 73 99 466 24 84 9 0 48 9 0 48 4 0 21 922 49 15 1 876 Madison 10 693 91 89 826 7 10 35 0 30 69 0 59 14 0 12 9 867 84 79 11 637 Minidoka 5 797 80 50 1 331 18 48 33 0 46 35 0 49 5 0 07 4 466 62 02 7 201 Nez Perce 11 009 62 20 6 476 36 59 112 0 63 82 0 46 21 0 12 4 533 25 61 17 700 Oneida 1 789 83 87 304 14 25 9 0 42 30 1 41 1 0 05 1 485 69 62 2 133 Owyhee 2 859 79 64 685 19 08 27 0 75 17 0 47 2 0 06 2 174 60 56 3 590 Payette 6 256 76 47 1 848 22 59 39 0 48 34 0 42 4 0 05 4 408 53 88 8 181 Power 2 105 71 16 829 28 03 13 0 44 10 0 34 1 0 03 1 276 43 13 2 958 Shoshone 2 922 54 75 2 331 43 68 35 0 66 41 0 77 8 0 15 591 11 07 5 337 Teton 2 235 60 57 1 416 38 37 24 0 65 2 0 05 13 0 35 819 22 20 3 690 Twin Falls 19 672 74 42 6 458 24 43 146 0 55 119 0 45 40 0 15 13 214 49 99 26 435 Valley 2 863 59 97 1 843 38 60 29 0 61 18 0 38 21 0 44 1 020 21 37 4 774 Washington 3 274 75 11 1 033 23 70 17 0 39 33 0 76 2 0 05 2 241 51 41 4 359 Totals 409 235 68 38 181 098 30 26 3 844 0 64 3 084 0 52 1 186 0 20 228 137 38 12 598 447 By congressional district edit Bush won both congressional districts District Bush Kerry Representative 1st 69 30 Butch Otter 2nd 69 30 Mike SimpsonElectors editMain article List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Idaho cast their ballots for electors representatives to the Electoral College Idaho is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write in votes must submit a list of 4 electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate they are not obligated to vote for them An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13 2004 to cast their votes for president and vice president The Electoral College itself never meets as one body Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols The following were the members of the Electoral College from Idaho All were pledged to and voted for George Bush and Dick Cheney Pete T Cenarrusa Debbie Field Sandra Patano John SandySee also editUnited States presidential elections in Idaho Presidency of George W BushNotes editReferences edit 2004 Presidential Election Statistics Dave Leip s Atlas of U S Presidential Elections Retrieved March 5 2018 Archived copy dcpoliticalreport com Archived from the original on November 21 2010 Retrieved January 17 2022 a href Template Cite web html title Template Cite web cite web a CS1 maint archived copy as title link Election 2004 Polls Dave Leip s Atlas of U S Presidential Elections uselectionatlas org Archived from the original on July 16 2012 Retrieved January 26 2022 George W Bush 374 659 453 raised 04 election cycle Republican Party President Campaignmoney com Retrieved May 20 2015 John F Kerry 345 826 176 raised 04 election cycle Democratic Party President Campaignmoney com Retrieved May 20 2015 Specials Cnn com Retrieved May 20 2015 Specials Cnn com Retrieved May 20 2015 Official General Election Results For United States President November 2 2004 Archived May 13 2009 at the Wayback Machine a b c Our Campaigns ID US President November 02 2004External links editDave Leip s U S Election Atlas Archives gov Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho amp oldid 1217138848, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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