Opinion polling for the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election

In the run up to the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 22 September 2015, to the 26–28 February 2019.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Graphical Summary

 

30 day moving average trend line of Estonian polls towards the election in 2019, each line corresponds to a political party.

Polling Results

2019

Date	Polling firm	Ref	Kesk	SDE	I	EVA	EKRE	Green	E200	Others	Lead	Ratas' cabinet – Opposition
3 Mar 2019	Election Results	28.9	23.1	9.8	11.4	1.2	17.8	1.8	4.4	1.6	5.8	44.3 – 55.7
26–28 Feb 2019	Kantar Emor	26.6	24.5	11.9	10.1	1.3	17.3	2.2	4.3	1.8	2.1	46.5 – 45.2
28 Jan–24 Feb 2019	Norstat	29.5	25.7	10.2	9.2	1	16.4	2.9	3.3	1.8	3.8	45.1 – 46.9
7–20 Feb 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	24	28	11	10	2	17	3	4	1	4	49 – 43
14–20 Feb 2019	Kantar Emor	25.7	24.7	10.1	9.2	0.9	21.3	2	5.6	0.5	1	44 – 47.9
12–18 Feb 2019	Faktum Ariko	25	22	11	11	2	18	2	4	4	3	44 – 45
21 Jan–17 Feb 2019	Norstat	28.8	27.1	9	9.2	0.9	16.4	3	3.4	2.2	1.7	45.3 – 46.1
14 Jan–11 Feb 2019	Norstat	27.9	28.8	8.9	7.7	1	17	2.8	3.8	2.1	0.9	45.4 – 45.9
4–7 Feb 2019	Kantar Emor	24.5	26.5	11.5	8.6	0.7	18.9	2.2	6.4	0.7	2	46.6 – 44.1
7 Jan–4 Feb 2019	Norstat	27	28.7	9.1	7.4	0.7	17.7	2.7	3.7	3	1.7	45.2 – 45.4
24–29 Jan 2019	Kantar Emor	26.3	24.4	9.7	7.5	1.7	18.2	4.4	7.2	0.6	1.9	41.6 – 46.2
15–28 Jan 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	25	33	7	6	1	17	3	5	3	8	46 – 43
7–13 Jan 2019	Norstat	27	27	10	7	–	20	2	2	5	0	44 – 47
4–8 Jan 2019	Kantar Emor	24.4	23.3	11.8	8	1.4	20.2	3	6.6	1.3	1.1	43.1 – 46
3–9 Jan 2019	Turu-uuringute AS (Online poll)	20	26	12	9	1	20	1	7	4	6	47 – 41

2018

Date	Polling firm	Ref	Kesk	SDE	I	EVA	EKRE	Green	E200	Others	Lead	Ratas' cabinet – Opposition
13–19 Dec 2018	Turu-uuringute AS (Online poll)	22	25	12	8	1	21	3	6	2	3	45 – 44
December 2018	Kantar Emor	23	25.9	9.2	7.8	2	20.3	3.5	8.2	–	2.9	42.9 – 45.3
December 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	21	31	8	5	1	18	3	7	6	10	44 – 43
November 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	23	33	7	5	1	15	3	8	5	10	45 – 39
November 2018	Kantar Emor	29	25	11	5	2	17	3	8	–	4	41 – 48
October 2018	Kantar Emor	28	25	14	5	2	16	4	5	1	3	44 – 46
October 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	28	30	12	5	2	17	2	–	4	2	47 – 47
September 2018	Kantar Emor	27	25	13	5	3	20	3	–	4.7	2	43 – 50
September 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	27	28	14	3	2	17	3	–	6	1	45 – 46
August 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	25	27	11	5	2	19	4	–	7	2	43 – 46
August 2018	Kantar Emor	29.8	23.8	12.7	5.2	4.7	21.2	2	–	0.6	6	41.7 – 55.7
July 2018	Kantar Emor	30	24	13	5	3	22	3	–	0.7	6	42 – 55
June 2018	Kantar Emor	32	23	14	7	3	17	5	–	–	9	44 – 52
June 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	28	27	9	5	4	18	2	–	7	1	41 – 50
May 2018	Kantar Emor	32	21	11.9	5	4	16.7	3	–	6.4	11	37.9 – 52.7
May 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	30	26	9	5	3	15	4	–	8	4	40 – 48
April 2018	Kantar Emor	30	21.6	10.6	5.8	5.8	19.1	6.1	–	1	8.4	38 – 54.9
April 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	33	26	6	4	3	14	3	–	9	7	36 – 50
8–21 Mar 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	31	26	10	5	3	13	3	–	9	5	41 – 47
8–14 Mar 2018	Kantar Emor	34.1	23.8	10.6	4.1	5.0	18.3	3.6	–	0.5	10.3	38.5 – 57.4
7–20 Feb 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	27	27	8	6	4	14	3	–	11	0	41 – 45
Feb 2018	Kantar Emor	34	21	11	6	7	17	4	–	0	13	38 – 58
15–29 Jan 2018	Turu-uuringute AS	26	27	11	5	4	12	4	–	11	1	43 – 42
18–25 Jan 2018	Kantar Emor	34.2	20.5	11	4.5	5.4	18.4	4.5	–	1.5	13.7	36 – 58

2017

Date	Polling firm	Ref	Kesk	SDE	I	EVA	EKRE	Green	Others	Lead	Ratas' cabinet – Opposition
8–14 Dec 2017	Kantar Emor	28	22	15	8	6	17	4	0	6	45 – 51
22 Nov–5 Dec 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	24	29	11	8	3	12	3	10	5	48 – 39
1–14 Nov 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	22	27	10	8	4	13	3	13	5	45 – 39
1–9 Nov 2017	Kantar Emor	29.0	26.0	15.1	7.0	5.1	14.4	3.1	0.3	3	48.1 – 48.5
Oct 2017		27	27	16	7	4	15	3	1	0	50 – 46
26 Sep–10 Oct 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	25	29	10	7	3	13	4	9	4	46 – 41
5–18 Sep 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	25	27	12	8	4	14	2	8	2	47 – 43
8–14 Sep 2017	Kantar Emor	25.7	23.1	18.7	5.8	6.2	16.7	2.0	1.8	2.6	47.6 – 48,6
9–22 Aug 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	24	29	12	5	6	12	4	8	5	46 – 42
11–17 Aug 2017	TNS Emor	27.6	22.8	14.6	3.8	9.4	17.2	3.7	0.9	4.8	41.2 – 54.2
Jul 2017	TNS Emor	26.4	23.1	14.8	6.3	7.4	15.9	5.4	0.7	3.3	44.2 – 49.7
9–16 June 2017	TNS Emor	25.4	25.1	14.2	6.6	8.5	16.2	3	1	0.3	45.9 – 50.1
25 May–6 Jun 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	26	26	11	6	8	10	3	10	0	43 – 44
17–22 May 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	23.7	24.7	12.9	6.9	4.6	12.8	5.7	8.7	1	44.5 – 41.1
12–18 May 2017	TNS Emor	27.5	21.8	17.8	5.6	9.9	13.4	3.7	0.3	5.7	45.2 – 50.8
25 Apr–9 May 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	25	26	12	4	8	14	3	8	1	42 – 47
Apr 2017		25	25	15	5	11	14	5	1	0	45 – 50
28 Mar–10 Apr 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	20	30	11	8	7	13	2	9	10	49 – 40
1–14 Mar 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	25	29	11	7	7	8	3	10	4	47 – 40
Mar 2017		26	27	15	6	10	14	2	0	1	48 – 50
Feb 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	23	29	10	7	8	10	2	11	6	46 – 41
Feb 2017		25	27	16	7	10	13	2	0	2	50 – 48
19–31 Jan 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	25	31	10	6	7	9	1	11	6	47 – 41

2016

Date	Polling firm	Ref	Kesk	SDE	I	EVA	EKRE	Green	Others	Lead	Ratas' cabinet – Opposition
Dec 2016	TNS Emor	23	26	19	7	8	11	4	2	3	52 – 42
Dec 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	20	32	15	8	6	8	1	10	12	55 – 34
23 Nov 2016	Jüri Ratas' cabinet is sworn in^[1]
Nov 2016	TNS Emor	23	24	19	9	11	10	3	1	1	—
Nov 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	21	29	13	9	9	12	–	7	8	—

Date	Polling firm	Ref	Kesk	SDE	I	EVA	EKRE	Green	Others	Lead	Rõivas' cabinet – Opposition
9 Nov 2016	Taavi Rõivas loses the vote of no confidence in Riigikogu^[2]
Oct 2016	TNS Emor	22	25	17	8	15	10	3	0	3	47 – 50
Oct 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	25	26	12	7	9	10	–	11	1	44 – 45
Sep 2016	TNS Emor	22	20	19	9	12	13	4	1	2	50 – 45
Sep 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	25	26	12	7	9	10	–	11	1	44 – 45
Aug 2016	TNS Emor	28	23	15	8	9	13	3	1	5	51 – 45
Aug 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	23	24	15	5	10	13	–	10	1	43 – 47
Jun 2016	TNS Emor	27	21	17	6	11	14	3	1	6	50 – 46
Jun 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	20	28	10	7	12	13	2	8	8	37 – 53
May 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	21	23	12	4	11	14	–	15	2	37 – 48
Apr 2016	TNS Emor	23	22	16	7	15	13	2	2	1	46 – 50
Apr 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	21	25	13	7	12	14	–	8	4	41 – 51
Mar 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	23	25	13	6	12	13	–	8	2	42 – 50
Mar 2016	TNS Emor	23	25	14	6	15	14	2	1	2	43 – 54
Feb 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	23	29	12	6	12	11	–	7	6	41 – 52
Feb 2016	TNS Emor	22	22	16	6	16	13	3	2	0	44 – 51
Jan 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	17	26	13	7	13	12	–	12	9	37 – 51

2015

Date	Polling firm	Ref	Kesk	SDE	I	EVA	EKRE	Green	Others	Lead	Rõivas' cabinet – Opposition
Dec 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	20	25	14	7	13	10	–	11	5	41 – 48
Dec 2015	TNS Emor	21	25	16	8	15	11	3	1	3	45 – 51
Nov 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	17	33	13	8	11	9	–	9	16	38 – 53
Nov 2015	TNS Emor	20	23	16	7	16	12	3	1	3	43 – 51
Oct 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	19	27	14	8	14	10	–	8	8	41 – 51
Sep 2015	TNS Emor	24	24	18	7	17	7	3	1	0	49 – 48
Sep 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	21	29	15	9	11	6	–	9	8	45 – 46
Aug 2015	TNS Emor	20	25	16	9	17	9	3	2	5	45 – 51
Jun 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	16	28	18	9	15	6	–	8	10	43 – 49
Jun 2015	TNS Emor	18	26	16	8	19	9	3	1	7	42 – 54
May 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	18	31	13	9	14	7	–	8	13	40 – 52
May 2015	TNS Emor	19	26	17	8	18	8	3	1	7	44 – 52
Apr 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	22	26	17	10	12	7	–	6	4	49 – 45
Mar 2015	TNS Emor	28	24	16	10	12	9	1	0	4	54 – 45
1 Mar 2015	Election results	27.7	24.8	15.2	13.7	8.7	8.1	0.9	0.9	2.9	56.6 – 41.6

References

1. ERR (2016-11-23). "President appoints Jüri Ratas' government". ERR. Retrieved 2019-03-05.
2. ERR (2016-11-07). "Government falls as Social Democrats and IRL leave coalition". ERR. Retrieved 2019-03-05.