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Next Northern Ireland Assembly election

December 15, 2023

A Northern Ireland Assembly election has to be held to elect 90 members to the Northern Ireland Assembly if the parties fail to form an Executive, which they have yet to do. After the Northern Ireland Assembly election on 5 May 2022, the DUP declined to agree on the appointment of Speaker to the Assembly, preventing the formation of an Executive. Chris Heaton-Harris, the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, confirmed a legal obligation to call an election if no Executive was formed by a 27 October 2022 deadline.[2] No Executive was formed by this deadline,[3] but the deadline was extended by legislation in the Westminster Parliament.[4][5] A deadline of 18 January 2024 is now proposed.[6][7]

Next Northern Ireland Assembly election
← 2022 No later than 6 May 2027
All 90 seats to the Northern Ireland Assembly
 
Leader Michelle O'Neill[n 1] Jeffrey Donaldson[n 2] Naomi Long
Party Sinn Féin DUP Alliance
Leader since 23 January 2017 [n 3] 30 June 2021 26 October 2016
Leader's seat Mid Ulster MP (not an MLA) Belfast East
Last election 27 seats, 29.0% 25 seats, 21.3% 17 seats, 13.5%
 
Leader Doug Beattie Colum Eastwood[n 4] Jim Allister
Party Ulster Unionist SDLP TUV
Leader since 17 May 2021 14 November 2015 7 December 2007
Leader's seat Upper Bann MP (not an MLA) North Antrim
Last election 9 seats, 11.2% 8 seats, 9.1% 1 seat, 7.6%
 
Leader Eamonn McCann[n 5]
Party People Before Profit
Last election 1 seat, 1.1%

The next election will be the eighth since the assembly was established in 1998. Seven parties have MLAs in the seventh assembly: Sinn Féin led by Michelle O'Neill, the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) led by Jeffrey Donaldson, Alliance led by Naomi Long, the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) led by Doug Beattie, the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) led by Colum Eastwood, Traditional Unionist Voice (TUV) led by Jim Allister, in addition to People Before Profit (PBP), who have a collective leadership.

Background edit

Section 7 of the Northern Ireland (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 2014 specifies that elections will be held on the first Thursday in May on the fifth calendar year following that in which its predecessor was elected,[8] which would be 6 May 2027. However, there are several circumstances in which the Assembly can be dissolved before the date scheduled by virtue of section 31(1) of the Northern Ireland Act 1998.

After the 2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election, the DUP declined to join in forming a government due to its opposition to the Northern Ireland Protocol on post-Brexit trading arrangements. If no government is formed within six months, the United Kingdom Government's Northern Ireland Secretary can call a new election early.[9]

On 28 September 2022, Chris Heaton-Harris, the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, stated that he had a legal obligation to call an early election on 28 October if no government was formed by that date,[2] probably[3] to be held no later than January 2023.[10][11] Sinn Féin leader Michelle O'Neill voiced her opposition to such an election: "The people spoke, and the people asked for a functioning executive, they asked for us to make politics work."[12] Both the UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and the Irish Tánaiste (Deputy Prime Minister) Leo Varadkar had urged the DUP to agree to the formation of a Government.[13]

The parties met on 27 October and failed to elect a Speaker, the fourth time they had met and failed to do so, and no government was formed by the deadline.[14] On 28 October, Heaton-Harris expressed disappointment that no Executive had been formed and acknowledged his legal duty to call an election,[15] but delayed immediately calling one.[16] The chief electoral officer said the election date would likely be 15 December.[17] The last date that an election could be held under the legislation existing then was 19 January 2023.[4]

On 29 October, Heaton-Harris continued to delay calling an election. Claire Hanna, a Member of Parliament for the SDLP, reacted to the news, saying an election was now "less likely". Heaton-Harris held another round of talks with the political parties on 1 November, amid speculation that the UK government could introduce legislation to delay the need for a new election.[18][4] However, Northern Ireland Office Minister Steve Baker said on 2 November that Heaton-Harris "will soon confirm the date of the next Northern Ireland Assembly election as required by law."[19]

Legal extensions to the deadline to form an Executive edit

On 4 November, Heaton-Harris said an election would not be held in December.[20] On 9 November, he said that he would be introducing legislation to extend the deadline to form a new Assembly Executive to 8 December 2022, with the option for an additional 6-week extension.[21] The requisite legislation was passed by the Westminster Parliament on 6 December 2022.[22]

The December 2022 deadline passed without any resolution. The deadline was extended to 19 January 2023. Heaton-Harris invited the parties to new talks on 11 January 2023 to discuss the situation,[23] but Sinn Féin pulled out in protest at the exclusion of its President, Mary Lou McDonald, after which the SDLP refused to take part as well.[24][25]

Under the then legislation, the latest possible date for the next election, if an Executive is not formed, was 13 April 2023.[21][26] The deadline to form an Executive passed on 19 January 2023, but Heaton-Harris played down the prospect of him calling a snap election.[27]

Under existing legislation, Heaton-Harris will have to call an election by the end of the first week of March 2023. However, he has proposed a further extension, with a new deadline to form an Executive of 18 January 2024 proposed.[6][7] This was achieved through the Northern Ireland (Executive Formation) Bill 2022–23,[28] which completed its passage through the Westminster Parliament in late February 2023.[29][28]

On 27 February 2023, the UK and EU announced the Windsor Framework to make changes to the Northern Ireland protocol.[30] It was hoped that this would lead to formation of an Assembly executive.[31] However, the DUP boycott has continued.[32]

Opinion polling edit

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		SF N DUP U APNI O UUP U SDLP N TUV U Green O Aontú N PBP O Other Lead
27–30 Oct 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,046 31% 28% 16% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3%
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2,950 31% 26% 15% 10% 6% 5% 2% 2% 1% 2% 5%
18 May 2023 Local elections
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,557 29% 25% 13% 11% 7% 7% 2% 2% 1% 3% 4%
3–14 Mar 2023 Institute of Irish Studies University of Liverpool/The Irish News N/A 30.6% 23.9% 15.4% 11.3% 6.7% 4.8% 3.2% 0.2% 2.2%
1.7%
NI Conservatives on 1.3%
 6.7%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1,499 31% 25% 15% 10% 7% 7% 1% 2% 1% 1% 6%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,351 32% 27% 15% 9% 7% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,384 30% 24% 16% 11% 7% 6% 2% 2% 1% 1% 6%
28 Jun – 10 Jul 2022 Institute of Irish Studies University of Liverpool/The Irish News 1,000 30.9% 20.1% 15.3% 9.6% 10.0% 4.7% 2.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 10.8%
5 May 2022 2022 Assembly election – 29.0% 21.3% 13.5% 11.2% 9.1% 7.6% 1.9% 1.5% 1.1% 3.8% 7.7%

Note: Next to the party initials at the top of the table there are the letters "N", "O", and "U". These show how the parties have chosen to designate themselves, Unionist (U), Nationalist (N) or other (O), in the Assembly previously (or, in the case of Aontú, how they are expected to designate if they win a seat). This is a function of the Assembly's consociational design.

Leadership approval ratings edit

Michelle O'Neill

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Michelle O'Neill, Vice President of Sinn Féin since 10 February 2018 and Deputy First Minister of Northern Ireland from 11 January 2020 to 4 February 2022.

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample Size Good/Great Bad/Awful Don't know Net approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2,950 43% 37% 20% +6%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,957 41% 37% 22% +4%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1,449 41% 40% 19% +4%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,351 46% 37% 17% +9%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,384 40% 42% 18% –2%

Jeffrey Donaldson

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jeffrey Donaldson, leader of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) since 30 June 2021.

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample Size Good/Great Bad/Awful Don't know Net approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2,950 24% 66% 10% –42%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,957 27% 65% 8% –38%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1,449 25% 63% 12% –38%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,351 29% 65% 6% –36%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,384 27% 64% 9% –37%

Naomi Long

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Naomi Long, leader of the Alliance Party since 26 October 2016.

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample Size Good/Great Bad/Awful Don't know Net approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2,950 38% 39% 23% –1%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,957 40% 38% 22% +2%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1,449 37% 38% 25% –1%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,351 45% 37% 18% +8%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,384 46% 37% 17% +9%

Doug Beattie

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Doug Beattie, leader of the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) since 27 May 2021.

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample Size Good/Great Bad/Awful Don't know Net approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2,950 34% 38% 28% –4%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,957 38% 33% 29% +5%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1,449 28% 42% 30% –14%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,351 37% 32% 31% +5%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,384 34% 34% 32% 0%

Colum Eastwood

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Colum Eastwood, leader of the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) since 14 November 2015.

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample Size Good/Great Bad/Awful Don't know Net approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2,950 26% 43% 31% –17%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,957 32% 40% 28% –8%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1,449 33% 38% 29% –5%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,351 31% 39% 30% –8%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,384 34% 39% 27% –5%

Jim Allister

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jim Allister, leader of Traditional Unionist Voice (TUV) since 7 December 2007.

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample Size Good/Great Bad/Awful Don't know Net approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2,950 23% 63% 14% –40%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,957 27% 61% 12% –34%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1,449 27% 57% 16% –30%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,351 27% 59% 14% –32%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3,384 31% 54% 15% –23%

See also edit

Footnotes edit

  1. ^ Sinn Féin's president is Mary Lou McDonald who is a TD for Dublin Central in Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Oireachtas (legislature of the Republic of Ireland). O'Neill is the party's vice president.
  2. ^ Donaldson sits in the House of Commons as the MP for Lagan Valley rather than in the Assembly
  3. ^ As "Party leader in the North"
  4. ^ Eastwood sits in the House of Commons as the MP for Foyle rather than in the Assembly
  5. ^ People Before Profit has a collective leadership, but for the purposes of registration to The Electoral Commission, McCann is named as the party's leader in Northern Ireland.[1]

References edit

  1. ^ "Registration Summary". The Electoral Commission. from the original on 4 June 2016. Retrieved 28 October 2017.
  2. ^ a b Pogatchnik, Shawn (28 September 2022). "UK warns of snap Northern Ireland election if DUP won't share power". Politico. Retrieved 29 September 2022.
  3. ^ a b "NI election looms as Stormont deadline passes". BBC News. 27 October 2022. Retrieved 28 October 2022.
  4. ^ a b c McClafferty, Enda; McCormack, Jayne (2 November 2022). "NI election date to be confirmed soon - Steve Baker". BBC News. Retrieved 18 November 2022.
  5. ^ "Stormont election: Further delay suggested as NI Protocol talks continue". BBC News. 19 January 2023. Retrieved 22 January 2023.
  6. ^ a b O'Carroll, Lisa (9 February 2023). "Northern Ireland assembly election to be delayed again". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 9 February 2023.
  7. ^ a b Pogatchnik, Shawn (9 February 2023). "UK concedes reality of Northern Ireland deadlock, shifts election 'deadline' to 2024". POLITICO. Retrieved 9 February 2023.
  8. ^ "Northern Ireland (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 2014". Legislation.gov.uk. Retrieved 7 May 2016.
  9. ^ Sproule, Luke (12 May 2022). "NI election results 2022: What does Sinn Féin's vote success mean?". BBC News. Retrieved 14 May 2022.
  10. ^ "No Christmas election for Northern Ireland Assembly". BBC News. 4 November 2022. Retrieved 18 November 2022.
  11. ^ Campbell, Brett (18 October 2022). "Stormont election on December 15 if deadline missed 'even by a minute'". Belfast Telegraph. Retrieved 19 October 2022.
  12. ^ McCambridge, Jonathan (10 October 2022). "O'Neill cautions against winter election and calls for Stormont return". Evening Standard. Retrieved 10 October 2022.
  13. ^ "NI election looms as Stormont deadline passes". BBC News. 27 October 2022. Retrieved 18 November 2022.
  14. ^ Simpson, Mark; Andrews, Chris (27 October 2022). "DUP blocks NI government as election call looms". BBC News. Retrieved 27 October 2022.
  15. ^ "NI Secretary voices 'disappointment' but still no election call". ITV News. 28 October 2022. Retrieved 18 November 2022.
  16. ^ "NI Assembly election to be called but no date set". BBC News. 28 October 2022. Retrieved 18 November 2022.
  17. ^ Andrews, Chris (28 October 2022). "Q&A: Is Northern Ireland going back to the polls?". BBC News. Retrieved 18 November 2022.
  18. ^ "NI election: Sinn Féin says talks to be held on Tuesday". BBC News. 29 October 2022. Retrieved 18 November 2022.
  19. ^ "NI election date to be confirmed soon - Steve Baker". BBC News. 2 November 2022. Retrieved 18 November 2022.
  20. ^ "Stormont: No NI Assembly election to be held in December". BBC News. 4 November 2022. Retrieved 4 November 2022.
  21. ^ a b "Secretary of State for Northern Ireland - Statement on Executive Formation". UK Government. 9 November 2022. Retrieved 11 November 2022.
  22. ^ McCormack, Jayne (5 December 2022). "Stormont: MLA pay cut bill passed in House of Lords" – via www.bbc.co.uk.
  23. ^ "Stormont crisis: NI secretary invites parties to hold deadlock talks". 4 January 2023 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
  24. ^ McCambridge, Jonathan (11 January 2023). "Sinn Fein pulls out of protocol meeting after party leader 'excluded'". The Independent. Retrieved 12 January 2023.
  25. ^ McClements, Freya; McQuinn, Cormac (11 January 2023). "Talks to break Stormont deadlock go ahead without any nationalists after 'exclusion' of Sinn Féin leader". The Irish Times. Retrieved 12 January 2023.
  26. ^ McCormack, Jayne; Fox, Matt (9 November 2022). "Stormont stalemate: Heaton-Harris pushes back NI election deadline". BBC News. Retrieved 18 November 2022.
  27. ^ Hughes, Brendan (18 January 2023). "Latest Stormont deadline looms but little sign of snap election". BelfastLive.
  28. ^ a b "Northern Ireland (Executive Formation and Organ and Tissue Donation) (changed from Northern Ireland (Executive Formation)) Bill - Parliamentary Bills - UK Parliament".
  29. ^ "Northern Ireland (Executive Formation) Bill 2022-23 - House of Commons Library".
  30. ^ "The Windsor Framework". Institute for Government.
  31. ^ Press Association (27 February 2023). "Windsor Framework: Sinn Fein and SDLP call for restoration of Assembly following NI Protocol deal". Belfast News Letter.
  32. ^ https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-67022972

December 15, 2023
next, northern, ireland, assembly, election, northern, ireland, assembly, election, held, elect, members, northern, ireland, assembly, parties, fail, form, executive, which, they, have, after, northern, ireland, assembly, election, 2022, declined, agree, appoi. A Northern Ireland Assembly election has to be held to elect 90 members to the Northern Ireland Assembly if the parties fail to form an Executive which they have yet to do After the Northern Ireland Assembly election on 5 May 2022 the DUP declined to agree on the appointment of Speaker to the Assembly preventing the formation of an Executive Chris Heaton Harris the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland confirmed a legal obligation to call an election if no Executive was formed by a 27 October 2022 deadline 2 No Executive was formed by this deadline 3 but the deadline was extended by legislation in the Westminster Parliament 4 5 A deadline of 18 January 2024 is now proposed 6 7 Next Northern Ireland Assembly election 2022 No later than 6 May 2027 outgoing membersAll 90 seats to the Northern Ireland Assembly Leader Michelle O Neill n 1 Jeffrey Donaldson n 2 Naomi LongParty Sinn Fein DUP AllianceLeader since 23 January 2017 n 3 30 June 2021 26 October 2016Leader s seat Mid Ulster MP not an MLA Belfast EastLast election 27 seats 29 0 25 seats 21 3 17 seats 13 5 Leader Doug Beattie Colum Eastwood n 4 Jim AllisterParty Ulster Unionist SDLP TUVLeader since 17 May 2021 14 November 2015 7 December 2007Leader s seat Upper Bann MP not an MLA North AntrimLast election 9 seats 11 2 8 seats 9 1 1 seat 7 6 Leader Eamonn McCann n 5 Party People Before ProfitLast election 1 seat 1 1 Incumbent First Minister and deputy First MinisterVacantThe next election will be the eighth since the assembly was established in 1998 Seven parties have MLAs in the seventh assembly Sinn Fein led by Michelle O Neill the Democratic Unionist Party DUP led by Jeffrey Donaldson Alliance led by Naomi Long the Ulster Unionist Party UUP led by Doug Beattie the Social Democratic and Labour Party SDLP led by Colum Eastwood Traditional Unionist Voice TUV led by Jim Allister in addition to People Before Profit PBP who have a collective leadership Contents 1 Background 1 1 Legal extensions to the deadline to form an Executive 2 Opinion polling 2 1 Leadership approval ratings 3 See also 4 Footnotes 5 ReferencesBackground editSection 7 of the Northern Ireland Miscellaneous Provisions Act 2014 specifies that elections will be held on the first Thursday in May on the fifth calendar year following that in which its predecessor was elected 8 which would be 6 May 2027 However there are several circumstances in which the Assembly can be dissolved before the date scheduled by virtue of section 31 1 of the Northern Ireland Act 1998 After the 2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election the DUP declined to join in forming a government due to its opposition to the Northern Ireland Protocol on post Brexit trading arrangements If no government is formed within six months the United Kingdom Government s Northern Ireland Secretary can call a new election early 9 On 28 September 2022 Chris Heaton Harris the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland stated that he had a legal obligation to call an early election on 28 October if no government was formed by that date 2 probably 3 to be held no later than January 2023 10 11 Sinn Fein leader Michelle O Neill voiced her opposition to such an election The people spoke and the people asked for a functioning executive they asked for us to make politics work 12 Both the UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and the Irish Tanaiste Deputy Prime Minister Leo Varadkar had urged the DUP to agree to the formation of a Government 13 The parties met on 27 October and failed to elect a Speaker the fourth time they had met and failed to do so and no government was formed by the deadline 14 On 28 October Heaton Harris expressed disappointment that no Executive had been formed and acknowledged his legal duty to call an election 15 but delayed immediately calling one 16 The chief electoral officer said the election date would likely be 15 December 17 The last date that an election could be held under the legislation existing then was 19 January 2023 4 On 29 October Heaton Harris continued to delay calling an election Claire Hanna a Member of Parliament for the SDLP reacted to the news saying an election was now less likely Heaton Harris held another round of talks with the political parties on 1 November amid speculation that the UK government could introduce legislation to delay the need for a new election 18 4 However Northern Ireland Office Minister Steve Baker said on 2 November that Heaton Harris will soon confirm the date of the next Northern Ireland Assembly election as required by law 19 Legal extensions to the deadline to form an Executive edit On 4 November Heaton Harris said an election would not be held in December 20 On 9 November he said that he would be introducing legislation to extend the deadline to form a new Assembly Executive to 8 December 2022 with the option for an additional 6 week extension 21 The requisite legislation was passed by the Westminster Parliament on 6 December 2022 22 The December 2022 deadline passed without any resolution The deadline was extended to 19 January 2023 Heaton Harris invited the parties to new talks on 11 January 2023 to discuss the situation 23 but Sinn Fein pulled out in protest at the exclusion of its President Mary Lou McDonald after which the SDLP refused to take part as well 24 25 Under the then legislation the latest possible date for the next election if an Executive is not formed was 13 April 2023 21 26 The deadline to form an Executive passed on 19 January 2023 but Heaton Harris played down the prospect of him calling a snap election 27 Under existing legislation Heaton Harris will have to call an election by the end of the first week of March 2023 However he has proposed a further extension with a new deadline to form an Executive of 18 January 2024 proposed 6 7 This was achieved through the Northern Ireland Executive Formation Bill 2022 23 28 which completed its passage through the Westminster Parliament in late February 2023 29 28 On 27 February 2023 the UK and EU announced the Windsor Framework to make changes to the Northern Ireland protocol 30 It was hoped that this would lead to formation of an Assembly executive 31 However the DUP boycott has continued 32 Opinion polling editDate s conducted Pollster Client Samplesize SF N DUP U APNI O UUP U SDLP N TUV U Green O Aontu N PBP O Other Lead27 30 Oct 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 046 31 28 16 8 6 4 2 1 1 2 3 11 14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2 950 31 26 15 10 6 5 2 2 1 2 5 18 May 2023 Local elections21 24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 557 29 25 13 11 7 7 2 2 1 3 4 3 14 Mar 2023 Institute of Irish Studies University of Liverpool The Irish News N A 30 6 23 9 15 4 11 3 6 7 4 8 3 2 0 2 2 2 1 7 NI Conservatives on 1 3 6 7 20 23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1 499 31 25 15 10 7 7 1 2 1 1 6 4 7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 351 32 27 15 9 7 5 2 1 1 1 5 12 15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 384 30 24 16 11 7 6 2 2 1 1 6 28 Jun 10 Jul 2022 Institute of Irish Studies University of Liverpool The Irish News 1 000 30 9 20 1 15 3 9 6 10 0 4 7 2 8 1 6 2 2 2 8 10 8 5 May 2022 2022 Assembly election 29 0 21 3 13 5 11 2 9 1 7 6 1 9 1 5 1 1 3 8 7 7 Note Next to the party initials at the top of the table there are the letters N O and U These show how the parties have chosen to designate themselves Unionist U Nationalist N or other O in the Assembly previously or in the case of Aontu how they are expected to designate if they win a seat This is a function of the Assembly s consociational design Leadership approval ratings edit Michelle O NeillThe following polls asked about voters opinions on Michelle O Neill Vice President of Sinn Fein since 10 February 2018 and Deputy First Minister of Northern Ireland from 11 January 2020 to 4 February 2022 Date s conducted Pollster Client Sample Size Good Great Bad Awful Don t know Net approval11 14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2 950 43 37 20 6 21 24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 957 41 37 22 4 20 23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1 449 41 40 19 4 4 7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 351 46 37 17 9 12 15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 384 40 42 18 2 Jeffrey DonaldsonThe following polls asked about voters opinions on Jeffrey Donaldson leader of the Democratic Unionist Party DUP since 30 June 2021 Date s conducted Pollster Client Sample Size Good Great Bad Awful Don t know Net approval11 14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2 950 24 66 10 42 21 24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 957 27 65 8 38 20 23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1 449 25 63 12 38 4 7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 351 29 65 6 36 12 15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 384 27 64 9 37 Naomi LongThe following polls asked about voters opinions on Naomi Long leader of the Alliance Party since 26 October 2016 Date s conducted Pollster Client Sample Size Good Great Bad Awful Don t know Net approval11 14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2 950 38 39 23 1 21 24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 957 40 38 22 2 20 23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1 449 37 38 25 1 4 7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 351 45 37 18 8 12 15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 384 46 37 17 9 Doug BeattieThe following polls asked about voters opinions on Doug Beattie leader of the Ulster Unionist Party UUP since 27 May 2021 Date s conducted Pollster Client Sample Size Good Great Bad Awful Don t know Net approval11 14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2 950 34 38 28 4 21 24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 957 38 33 29 5 20 23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1 449 28 42 30 14 4 7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 351 37 32 31 5 12 15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 384 34 34 32 0 Colum EastwoodThe following polls asked about voters opinions on Colum Eastwood leader of the Social Democratic and Labour Party SDLP since 14 November 2015 Date s conducted Pollster Client Sample Size Good Great Bad Awful Don t know Net approval11 14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2 950 26 43 31 17 21 24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 957 32 40 28 8 20 23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1 449 33 38 29 5 4 7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 351 31 39 30 8 12 15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 384 34 39 27 5 Jim AllisterThe following polls asked about voters opinions on Jim Allister leader of Traditional Unionist Voice TUV since 7 December 2007 Date s conducted Pollster Client Sample Size Good Great Bad Awful Don t know Net approval11 14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 2 950 23 63 14 40 21 24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 957 27 61 12 34 20 23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 1 449 27 57 16 30 4 7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 351 27 59 14 32 12 15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph 3 384 31 54 15 23 See also editNext United Kingdom general election in Northern IrelandFootnotes edit Sinn Fein s president is Mary Lou McDonald who is a TD for Dublin Central in Dail Eireann the lower house of the Oireachtas legislature of the Republic of Ireland O Neill is the party s vice president Donaldson sits in the House of Commons as the MP for Lagan Valley rather than in the Assembly As Party leader in the North Eastwood sits in the House of Commons as the MP for Foyle rather than in the Assembly People Before Profit has a collective leadership but for the purposes of registration to The Electoral Commission McCann is named as the party s leader in Northern Ireland 1 References edit Registration Summary The Electoral Commission Archived from the original on 4 June 2016 Retrieved 28 October 2017 a b Pogatchnik Shawn 28 September 2022 UK warns of snap Northern Ireland election if DUP won t share power Politico Retrieved 29 September 2022 a b NI election looms as Stormont deadline passes BBC News 27 October 2022 Retrieved 28 October 2022 a b c McClafferty Enda McCormack Jayne 2 November 2022 NI election date to be confirmed soon Steve Baker BBC News Retrieved 18 November 2022 Stormont election Further delay suggested as NI Protocol talks continue BBC News 19 January 2023 Retrieved 22 January 2023 a b O Carroll Lisa 9 February 2023 Northern Ireland assembly election to be delayed again The Guardian ISSN 0261 3077 Retrieved 9 February 2023 a b Pogatchnik Shawn 9 February 2023 UK concedes reality of Northern Ireland deadlock shifts election deadline to 2024 POLITICO Retrieved 9 February 2023 Northern Ireland Miscellaneous Provisions Act 2014 Legislation gov uk Retrieved 7 May 2016 Sproule Luke 12 May 2022 NI election results 2022 What does Sinn Fein s vote success mean BBC News Retrieved 14 May 2022 No Christmas election for Northern Ireland Assembly BBC News 4 November 2022 Retrieved 18 November 2022 Campbell Brett 18 October 2022 Stormont election on December 15 if deadline missed even by a minute Belfast Telegraph Retrieved 19 October 2022 McCambridge Jonathan 10 October 2022 O Neill cautions against winter election and calls for Stormont return Evening Standard Retrieved 10 October 2022 NI election looms as Stormont deadline passes BBC News 27 October 2022 Retrieved 18 November 2022 Simpson Mark Andrews Chris 27 October 2022 DUP blocks NI government as election call looms BBC News Retrieved 27 October 2022 NI Secretary voices disappointment but still no election call ITV News 28 October 2022 Retrieved 18 November 2022 NI Assembly election to be called but no date set BBC News 28 October 2022 Retrieved 18 November 2022 Andrews Chris 28 October 2022 Q amp A Is Northern Ireland going back to the polls BBC News Retrieved 18 November 2022 NI election Sinn Fein says talks to be held on Tuesday BBC News 29 October 2022 Retrieved 18 November 2022 NI election date to be confirmed soon Steve Baker BBC News 2 November 2022 Retrieved 18 November 2022 Stormont No NI Assembly election to be held in December BBC News 4 November 2022 Retrieved 4 November 2022 a b Secretary of State for Northern Ireland Statement on Executive Formation UK Government 9 November 2022 Retrieved 11 November 2022 McCormack Jayne 5 December 2022 Stormont MLA pay cut bill passed in House of Lords via www bbc co uk Stormont crisis NI secretary invites parties to hold deadlock talks 4 January 2023 via www bbc co uk McCambridge Jonathan 11 January 2023 Sinn Fein pulls out of protocol meeting after party leader excluded The Independent Retrieved 12 January 2023 McClements Freya McQuinn Cormac 11 January 2023 Talks to break Stormont deadlock go ahead without any nationalists after exclusion of Sinn Fein leader The Irish Times Retrieved 12 January 2023 McCormack Jayne Fox Matt 9 November 2022 Stormont stalemate Heaton Harris pushes back NI election deadline BBC News Retrieved 18 November 2022 Hughes Brendan 18 January 2023 Latest Stormont deadline looms but little sign of snap election BelfastLive a b Northern Ireland Executive Formation and Organ and Tissue Donation changed from Northern Ireland Executive Formation Bill Parliamentary Bills UK Parliament Northern Ireland Executive Formation Bill 2022 23 House of Commons Library The Windsor Framework Institute for Government Press Association 27 February 2023 Windsor Framework Sinn Fein and SDLP call for restoration of Assembly following NI Protocol deal Belfast News Letter https www bbc co uk news uk northern ireland 67022972 Retrieved from https en wikipedia org w index php title Next Northern Ireland Assembly election amp oldid 1186768269, wikipedia, wiki, book, books, library,

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